Post on 18-Mar-2016
description
MODELO DE PLANEACIN Y SIMULACIN PARA LA GESTIN SOCIAL DEL DESARROLLO
REVISIN PLAN DE ORDENAMIENTO TERRITORIALMEDELLN CIUDAD A CAMPO ABIERTO
LA PREGUNTA
Hacia donde nos dirigimos inercialmente:Crecimientos de las exportaciones del 6% anual y del consumo interno del 2.5%Incrementos de la productividad del 1% anual.Sin capacidad de innovar. En 15 aos:El desempleo superara el 20%.El Ingreso per. Capita slo alcanzara 2600 dlares anuales.
Hacia donde podramos dirigimos:Innovando a ratas del 5% anual.Incrementos de la productividad del 4% anualCon Crecimientos de las exportaciones del 10% anual y del consumo interno del 4.5% En 15 aos:El desempleo llegara al 4%El Ingreso per Cpita alcanzara 7000 dlares anuales.
EL EJE CENTRAL DEL PROCESO PROSPECTIVO: CONTRUCCION DE LA VISION DE REGIONIDH: ndice de Desarrollo HumanoICV: ndice de Calidad de Vida
CONSTRUCCIN DE LA VISIN DE REGIN:FUNCIN DEL MODELO DE SIMULACIN DINMICOEL MODELO DE SIMULACIN:
Se simulan trayectorias estableciendo indicadores claves de transformacin de la Regin para cada uno de los temas crticos.
Se disean y evaluarn los efectos de polticas pblicas y acciones de la ciudadana.
ANTECEDENTESEl Modelo de Ocupacin Territorial y la Transformacin Socioeconmica - PLANEA Y DAP-DLos Escenarios propuestos para Antioquia, Macroescenarios de Futuros Posibles PLANEAEstudio MONITOR - 1994Ejercicio Prospectivo DAP-MESUMER - SUBDIRECCIN DE PROSPECTIVA - 2004La Agenda de Innovacin y Desarrollo Cientfico y Tecnolgico para Medelln y Antioquia
ESCENARIOS DE LARGO PLAZO PARA LA ECONOMA DE ANTIOQUIA, SUS REGIONES Y EL VALLE DE ABURR 2004 - 2020-+-+EXPANSIN DE DEMANDALO INTERNO COMPENSA LO EXTERNOLO EXTERNO COMPENSA LO INTERNOINTEGRACIN SOCIAL, GESTIN PBLICA,EQUILIBRIO TERRITORIAL YTENENCIA DE LA TIERRACONTRACCION DE DEMANDADINMICA EMPRESARIAL Y DE MERCADOS INTERNOS Y EXTERNOSZona de baja probabilidadCrec. Sup al 6%Zona de alta probabilidadCrec. Entre el 3.1 y 4.9%
POSICIN ACTUALPOSICIN OBJETIVOARRIEROS SOMOSCINCO PARA EL PESOLA MEJOR ESQUINACON EL MISMO CARRIELZona de muy baja probabilidadCrec. Inf a 3 %
ESCENARIOS DE LARGO PLAZO PARA LA ECONOMA DE ANTIOQUIA, SUS REGIONES Y EL VALLE DE ABURR 2004 - 2020
HACIA UN NUEVO MODELO DE OCUPACIN TERRITORIALModelo actualModelo propuestoFuente: PLANEA
Caractersticas de las variablesLocalizacin del desarrollo en el medio naturalSistema UrbanoVnculosPosicin en los flujos nacionales e Internacio-nales
Una ciudad o una subregin atrae poblacin siempre y cuando ofrezca a sus habitantes seguridad ciudadana, los servicios pblicos necesarios, educacin, empleo, vivienda y un nivel de ingreso adecuado. Para el Modelo desarrollado el factor de atractividad se calcula con base en el promedio ponderado de estas 7 variables, donde cada una tiene un peso equivalente a la importancia que tiene para el Valle de Aburr dicha variable para poder atraer o no poblacin.
FACTOR DE ATRACTIVIDAD
CALDASRiqueza en Biodiversidad ALTA CONCENTRACION DE ASENTAMIENTOS EN LA HERRADURA ANDINA.
ALTAS DIFERENCIAS POBLACIONALES Valle de Aburr (10 municipios)2.716.000 Eje Urab (4 municipios) 167.000 Altiplano del Oriente 156.000 CENTROS MAS DINAMICOS LOCALIZADOS EN EL TROPICO Y CON OPORTUNIDADES EN RELACION CON CENTROS URBANOS DE OTROS DEPARTAMENTOS.
LOCALIZACIN Y CARACTERSTICAS DE LOS CENTROS URBANOS
ESTRUCTURA GENERAL DEL MODELO DE GESTINSOCIAL DEL DESARROLLO
ESCENARIOS Y DINAMICAS
ESCENARIOS 2010
2010VARIABLES2004ETERNA CASI PRIMAVERASLO TCITASDE PLATAPUROS COLOMBIAMODASLA FERIA DE LAS FLORESEXGENAS INDICADORES DE TRAYECTORIA:Crecimiento en las Exportaciones6%6%9%12%Crecimiento en la Demanda Interna2.50%2.5%3.50%4.5%Incremento de la Productividad1%3%3%4%Innovacin0%0%2%5%Cambio Tecnolgico1%2%2%3% - 4%RESULTADOS VARIABLES DE ECONOMA:Exportaciones anuales US$ (miles de millones)1,3341,8961,8132,2722,790PIB per cpita US$2,4162,8252,7283,3953,687CREC PIB3.62%2.88%6.48%11.62% VARIABLES DE CALIDAD DE VIDA:GINI0.500.470.480.450.44IDH78.2779.3379.0880.3880.82Desempleo14%12%18%7%7%
ESCENARIOS 2020
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
Grfico4
0.140.140.140.14
0.130.130.130.13
0.140.130.120.13
0.150.130.10.1
0.160.120.090.1
0.170.120.080.09
0.180.120.070.07
0.190.110.050.04
0.190.110.030
0.20.110.030
0.210.10.030
0.210.10.030
0.210.10.040
0.210.090.050.01
0.220.090.060.03
0.220.080.060.04
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
AO
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
MOVILIDAD
VIAJES DIARIOS
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULAR
20041,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.42
20051,329,629.18214,318.43144,029.84529,454.291,334,128.99212,170.35143,442.97523,885.391,329,670.55214,298.75144,024.45529,403.301,329,670.55214,298.75144,024.45529,403.30
20061,331,704.14223,692.13147,494.19552,202.891,338,199.95220,182.60146,646.27544,340.981,327,374.49226,093.46148,059.71557,393.691,327,120.12226,234.03148,092.94557,697.44
20071,332,100.51234,132.70151,025.55575,522.711,341,363.52229,055.62149,814.26564,561.481,305,508.58248,316.40154,516.71609,429.881,300,653.73250,945.33155,156.96616,506.01
20081,330,683.34244,864.69154,626.27599,391.641,343,516.40237,974.64152,943.50584,548.911,270,332.18279,626.54162,637.49684,754.551,261,985.49284,394.03163,762.52696,044.19
20091,328,323.39255,900.70158,338.06628,703.941,345,558.63246,776.84156,069.65604,253.581,232,619.68309,866.00167,924.45777,313.421,214,029.76319,479.53168,634.56809,733.35
20101,325,046.88268,654.87162,170.84659,194.331,347,546.30255,466.80159,195.82626,765.421,213,165.67329,481.68170,750.09840,718.201,162,873.25354,608.11173,215.64937,253.30
20111,320,842.60281,692.12166,133.76690,333.251,349,498.75264,644.39162,323.59649,893.311,190,078.18350,507.86173,098.48916,720.121,109,540.36389,441.58185,088.751,079,658.82
20121,315,761.09295,007.93170,238.97722,107.431,351,497.64274,170.34165,456.77672,718.341,156,901.47376,015.35181,331.501,012,976.171,024,274.44437,565.30200,816.821,305,783.64
20131,312,468.41306,840.14173,285.66756,137.581,353,607.47283,576.60168,598.39695,250.731,133,466.31396,385.08188,516.131,097,490.03954,747.12477,067.55212,758.391,496,916.56
20141,309,640.77318,231.77175,831.05791,856.501,355,859.00292,869.11171,750.07717,505.221,097,033.96422,482.05197,474.291,211,229.55868,309.66522,824.97224,320.221,719,688.06
20151,306,441.32329,860.34178,313.78828,308.591,358,413.37302,046.75174,918.21739,481.441,064,271.50446,527.98205,588.561,323,853.72790,973.88564,235.42231,365.151,920,301.93
20161,302,839.83341,730.84180,721.65865,511.251,361,650.53310,848.62177,922.97761,236.021,035,438.79468,584.92212,842.731,426,275.14730,043.47598,691.78234,331.592,085,553.79
20171,298,721.74353,846.83183,034.20903,489.571,366,692.80318,478.88180,189.47784,157.261,003,861.65491,645.86220,094.261,533,707.98664,737.31634,938.50233,786.572,259,801.70
20181,294,032.10366,211.41185,234.11945,639.231,371,907.42326,051.34182,431.57806,858.33980,176.19511,097.89226,060.861,622,796.88611,557.82666,237.54230,048.052,408,921.89
20191,288,681.47378,826.20187,299.28990,196.931,377,215.81333,569.71184,645.11829,363.54929,423.71541,941.15234,200.841,769,587.50523,100.65713,148.90225,325.482,637,132.99
1,377,216
333,570
184,645
829,364
REQUERIDOS SEGN OCUPACIN Y VIAJES
BASE
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARCARGA
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.556,697.4520,004.1588,242.3824,740.12
4,932.246,990.3820,485.3092,033.8225,653.83
4,933.717,316.6520,975.7795,920.4526,590.32
4,928.467,652.0221,475.8799,898.6127,563.42
4,919.727,996.9021,991.40104,783.9928,574.62
4,907.588,395.4622,523.73109,865.7229,625.48
4,892.018,802.8823,074.13115,055.5430,717.63
4,873.199,219.0023,644.30120,351.2431,852.76
4,860.999,588.7524,067.45126,022.9333,032.63
4,850.529,944.7424,420.98131,976.0834,259.09
4,838.6710,308.1424,765.80138,051.4335,534.044,7735,1013,4421,937
4,825.3310,679.0925,100.23144,251.8836,859.4911,83810,42416,93622,286
4,810.0811,057.7125,421.42150,581.5938,237.5226,01425,64532,52831,295
4,792.7111,444.1125,726.96157,606.5439,670.30165,033138,227294,931439,522
4,772.8911,838.3226,013.79165,032.8241,160.0941,16035,94966,722110,711
DEGRADATIVO
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,941.226,630.3219,922.6387,314.2324,554.17
4,956.306,880.7120,367.5490,723.5025,368.12
4,968.017,157.9920,807.5494,093.5826,182.02
4,975.997,436.7121,242.1597,424.8226,995.94
4,983.557,711.7821,676.34100,708.9327,809.85
4,990.917,983.3422,110.53104,460.9028,623.76
4,998.148,270.1422,544.94108,315.5529,437.68
5,005.558,567.8222,980.11112,119.7230,251.59
5,013.368,861.7723,416.44115,875.1231,065.50
5,021.709,152.1623,854.18119,584.2031,879.42
5,031.169,438.9624,294.20123,246.9132,693.33
5,043.159,714.0224,711.52126,872.6733,507.25
5,061.839,952.4725,026.32130,692.8834,321.16
5,081.1410,189.1025,337.72134,476.3935,135.07
5,100.8010,424.0525,645.15138,227.2635,948.99
ALTO
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.716,696.8420,003.4088,233.8824,738.41
4,916.207,065.4220,563.8592,898.9525,832.72
4,835.227,759.8921,460.65101,571.6527,711.12
4,704.938,738.3322,588.54114,125.7630,179.29
4,565.269,683.3123,322.84129,552.2433,218.25
4,493.2110,296.3023,715.29140,119.7035,519.01
4,407.7010,953.3724,041.46152,786.6937,996.93
4,284.8211,750.4825,184.93168,829.3641,141.84
4,198.0212,387.0326,182.80182,915.0143,854.29
4,063.0913,202.5627,426.99201,871.5947,400.85
3,941.7513,954.0028,553.97220,642.2950,945.88
3,834.9614,643.2829,561.49237,712.5254,365.68
3,718.0115,363.9330,568.65255,618.0058,075.84
3,630.2815,971.8131,397.34270,466.1561,348.36
3,442.3116,935.6632,527.89294,931.2566,722.41
9000.3
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULAR
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.716,696.8420,003.4088,233.8824,738.41
4,915.267,069.8120,568.4692,949.5725,843.25
4,817.247,842.0421,549.58102,751.0027,914.00
4,674.028,887.3122,744.80116,007.3630,546.88
4,496.419,983.7423,421.47134,955.5634,249.07
4,306.9411,081.5024,057.73156,208.8838,423.54
4,109.4112,170.0525,706.77179,943.1442,948.65
3,793.6113,673.9227,891.23217,630.6149,805.76
3,536.1014,908.3629,549.78249,486.0956,373.24
3,215.9616,338.2831,155.59286,614.6864,643.73
2,929.5317,632.3632,134.05320,050.3273,251.89
2,703.8618,709.1232,546.05347,592.3081,070.99
2,461.9919,841.8332,470.36376,633.6289,708.29
2,265.0320,819.9231,951.12401,486.9897,682.96
1,93722,28631,295439,522110,711.47
MOVILIDAD
00000
00000
00000
00000
ACTUALIDAD
BASE
DEGRADATIVO
ALTO
9000.3
Ingreso per Capita
VIAJES DIARIOS EN EL AO 2020
EDUCACIN
BASEREQUERIMIENTOSDEGRADATIVOREQUERIMIENTOSALTOREQUERIMIENTOSSUPERIORREQUERIMIENTOS
PRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIOR
0.680.310.070.680.310.070.680.310.070.680.310.07
0.690.320.070.680.320.070.690.320.070.690.320.07
0.690.320.070.690.320.070.690.330.070.690.330.07
0.690.330.080.690.330.070.70.340.080.70.340.08
0.70.340.080.70.330.080.720.360.090.720.360.09
0.70.340.080.70.340.080.730.380.090.730.390.1
0.710.350.080.70.340.080.740.390.10.750.410.11
0.710.360.080.710.350.080.740.40.10.760.430.12
0.720.360.090.710.350.080.750.420.110.780.450.14
0.720.370.090.710.350.080.760.430.120.80.480.15
0.730.370.090.710.360.080.770.440.130.810.50.18
0.730.380.090.720.360.090.780.450.140.830.520.2
0.730.390.10.720.370.090.790.460.140.840.540.22
0.740.390.10.720.370.090.790.470.150.850.560.24
0.740.40.10.720.370.090.80.480.160.860.580.26
0.740.40.10.730.370.090.810.50.170.880.60.29
TRANSPORTE
ESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO BASEESCENARIO ALTO CON TASA DE VIAJES EXGENADATOS EXGENOS DE TASASA DE VIAJE INGRESADOS
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULAR
1,330,713204,001140,253502,9841,330,713204,001140,253502,9841,385,183.67197,501.84137,382.12516,428.2800.5800.0070
1,329,671214,299144,024529,4031,329,629214,318144,030529,4541,386,435.66206,620.47141,144.87540,788.091,0000.4890.0140.0140.01
1,327,374226,093148,060557,3941,331,704223,692147,494552,2031,387,534.81216,133.75144,812.50567,593.162,0000.40.0490.0210.074
1,305,509248,316154,517609,4301,332,101234,133151,026575,5231,371,478.29233,863.42150,685.30617,411.073,0000.3280.070.0250.175
1,270,332279,627162,637684,7551,330,683244,865154,626599,3921,344,523.92258,003.36158,475.85683,332.174,0000.2850.0850.0290.247
1,232,620309,866167,924777,3131,328,323255,901158,338628,7041,315,774.23283,080.37164,738.60765,438.475,0000.2650.0960.0310.302
1,213,166329,482170,750840,7181,325,047268,655162,171659,1941,301,862.47300,232.40168,576.71822,826.836,0000.2450.10.0310.347
1,190,078350,508173,098916,7201,320,843281,692166,134690,3331,285,803.25318,414.82172,392.21887,592.747,0000.240.10.0310.385
1,156,901376,015181,3321,012,9761,315,761295,008170,239722,1071,263,330.22340,758.59176,691.46967,835.538,0000.240.10.0310.425
1,133,466396,385188,5161,097,4901,312,468306,840173,286756,1381,249,090.60358,659.53180,552.201,035,446.639,0000.240.10.0310.43
1,097,034422,482197,4741,211,2301,309,641318,232175,831791,8571,225,325.04381,787.28185,229.521,127,743.4810,0000.2350.10.0290.43
1,064,272446,528205,5891,323,8541,306,441329,860178,314828,3091,204,902.61402,611.49188,179.591,216,823.3211,0000.2350.10.0250.43
1,035,439468,585212,8431,426,2751,302,840341,731180,722865,5111,188,746.58421,199.04193,865.981,301,172.4912,0000.230.10.0210.435
1,003,862491,646220,0941,533,7081,298,722353,847183,034903,4901,171,855.96440,069.32200,116.891,393,756.6813,0000.230.10.0170.435
980,176511,098226,0611,622,7971,294,032366,211185,234945,6391,159,605.04456,542.34205,581.921,470,195.5714,0000.230.10.0120.435
929,424541,941234,2011,769,5881,288,681378,826187,299990,197487,2131,134,072.30479,556.65212,817.901,593,230.1715,0000.230.10.0080.435
16,0000.230.10.0020.435
TRANSPORTE
1134072.3
479556.65
212817.9
1593230.17
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(En 15 aos)
SALUD
0
0
0
0
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(Actualmente)
MEDIO AMBIENTE
% AFILIADOS
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
EPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOS
20040.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.09
20050.400.010.310.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.400.010.310.180.090.400.010.310.180.09
20060.400.010.310.180.090.400.010.310.180.090.410.010.310.180.090.410.010.310.180.09
20070.410.010.300.180.090.410.010.300.180.090.420.010.290.190.090.430.010.290.190.09
20080.420.010.290.190.090.410.010.300.180.090.440.010.270.190.090.450.010.260.190.09
20090.420.010.290.190.090.420.010.290.180.090.460.010.250.190.090.470.010.240.190.09
20100.430.010.280.190.090.420.010.290.190.090.480.010.240.190.090.490.010.220.200.08
20110.440.010.270.190.090.430.010.280.190.090.490.010.220.200.080.520.000.200.200.08
20120.450.010.260.190.090.430.010.280.190.090.500.010.210.200.080.550.000.170.200.08
20130.450.010.260.190.090.440.010.270.190.090.520.000.200.200.080.570.000.150.210.08
20140.460.010.250.190.090.440.010.270.190.090.530.000.180.200.080.600.000.120.210.07
20150.470.010.250.190.090.450.010.270.190.090.550.000.170.200.080.630.000.100.220.07
20160.470.010.240.190.090.450.010.260.190.090.560.000.160.210.080.650.000.080.220.07
20170.480.010.240.190.090.450.010.260.190.090.570.000.150.210.080.670.000.070.220.06
20180.480.010.230.190.080.460.010.260.190.090.580.000.140.210.070.680.000.060.230.06
20190.490.010.220.200.080.460.010.250.190.090.600.000.120.210.070.710.000.040.230.06
0.390.490.490.600.710.46
0.010.010.010.000.000.01
0.320.220.220.120.040.25
0.180.200.200.210.230.19
0.090.080.080.070.060.09
MEDIO AMBIENTE
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
ACTUALIDAD
BASE
DEGRADATIVO
ALTO
9000.3
Ingreso per Capita
AFILIACIONES SALUD AO 2020
GINI IDH
BASERESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOMDEGRADATIVORESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOMALTORESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOM9000.3RESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOM68,47266,84478,074100,394
55,56318,26755,562.8618,267.2455,562.8618,267.2455,562.8618,267.2422,51121,97625,66833,006
56,381.8518,536.5056,333.9918,520.7756,381.4118,536.3556,381.4118,536.3525,424,57324,559,23729,655,26836,890,640
57,189.4818,802.0257,120.2918,779.2757,235.6218,817.1957,238.3318,818.082,579,4262,491,6343,008,6483,742,705
57,980.6919,062.1557,881.9319,029.6858,264.4819,155.4558,316.3119,172.4924,919,89024,054,55429,150,58636,385,957
58,752.8719,316.0158,615.9419,270.9959,397.0919,527.8159,486.1119,557.082,528,2242,440,4322,957,4453,691,503
59,530.4819,571.6659,346.4919,511.1860,799.5419,988.8961,131.8420,098.1424,27624,18424,72425,496
60,315.2919,829.6960,075.0819,750.7161,996.4620,382.4062,971.4520,702.94
61,108.1120,090.3460,802.2019,989.7663,294.2320,809.0664,988.9921,366.24
61,911.3920,354.4361,530.0320,229.0564,844.9021,318.8767,997.3022,355.28
62,764.6520,634.9562,260.3120,469.1466,247.2821,779.9370,987.4523,338.34
63,652.1220,926.7362,993.8520,710.3168,006.0422,358.1574,906.4524,626.78
64,565.4021,226.9863,735.0020,953.9769,787.2622,943.7679,216.3426,043.73
65,505.1121,535.9364,488.9321,201.8471,572.4923,530.6883,353.5527,403.91
66,469.5521,853.0065,270.3921,458.7673,519.3224,170.7388,114.5128,969.15
67,458.7522,178.2266,056.1321,717.0975,300.0424,756.1892,600.6830,444.06
68,471.8322,511.2966,843.9921,976.1178,074.2525,668.25100,393.6133,006.12
CONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICO
14,088,1271,429,29814,088,127.401,429,297.7914,088,127.401,429,297.7914,088,127.401,429,297.79
14,585,491.801,479,757.4314,561,864.191,477,360.3114,585,274.581,479,735.3914,585,274.581,479,735.39
15,090,456.081,530,988.1115,055,747.811,527,466.8115,113,589.211,533,335.0615,114,948.261,533,472.94
15,624,403.161,585,159.2115,573,983.251,580,043.9115,769,124.241,599,841.7515,795,542.541,602,522.00
16,189,869.541,642,528.0716,118,626.921,635,300.2216,524,842.041,676,512.3916,571,171.481,681,212.71
16,787,880.601,703,198.7316,690,221.851,693,290.8517,394,979.981,764,791.4317,534,331.631,778,929.22
17,421,107.211,767,442.1417,290,885.481,754,230.6218,196,721.381,846,131.3518,596,889.361,886,730.02
18,092,639.911,835,571.8617,923,088.211,818,370.1519,075,082.791,935,244.6819,756,631.282,004,390.55
18,805,859.981,907,930.9418,589,521.631,885,982.5320,095,008.672,038,720.3121,315,920.772,162,586.81
19,567,381.791,985,190.4219,293,302.951,957,384.0121,094,789.122,140,152.1022,879,147.072,321,182.47
20,380,585.542,067,693.2520,038,092.672,032,945.9522,286,000.262,261,005.3124,794,261.792,515,478.64
21,249,473.332,155,845.4420,827,829.692,113,067.9823,532,886.032,387,506.9426,844,184.612,723,451.64
22,180,250.252,250,276.5521,667,937.722,198,300.3624,835,962.522,519,709.3528,880,735.122,930,067.97
23,180,390.872,351,744.8822,565,903.732,289,402.6626,271,232.232,665,323.3031,186,353.593,163,982.34
24,258,448.402,461,118.2023,526,928.852,386,902.5627,721,431.692,812,451.9333,508,241.753,399,547.33
25,424,572.952,579,426.2724,559,236.942,491,634.4129,655,268.393,008,647.5236,890,640.083,742,705.39
VERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICO
13,782,0161,398,24213,782,016.391,398,241.5813,782,016.391,398,241.5813,782,016.391,398,241.58
14,270,456.321,447,795.8014,246,828.711,445,398.6814,270,239.101,447,773.7614,270,239.101,447,773.76
14,766,079.321,498,078.7714,731,371.051,494,557.4714,789,212.451,500,425.7214,790,571.501,500,563.60
15,290,238.811,551,256.8815,239,818.901,546,141.5715,434,959.891,565,939.4215,461,378.191,568,619.66
15,845,438.221,607,584.1215,774,195.601,600,356.2616,180,410.721,641,568.4416,226,740.161,646,268.75
16,432,665.661,667,160.7316,335,006.901,657,252.8517,039,765.041,728,753.4317,179,116.681,742,891.22
17,054,549.801,730,253.4016,924,328.071,717,041.8817,830,163.961,808,942.6118,230,331.951,849,541.28
17,714,133.191,797,170.8217,544,581.491,779,969.1118,696,576.061,896,843.6419,378,124.561,965,989.50
18,414,742.251,868,250.4518,198,403.901,846,302.0519,703,890.941,999,039.8320,924,803.042,122,906.32
19,162,928.401,944,156.9818,888,849.561,916,350.5720,690,335.732,099,118.6622,474,693.682,280,149.03
19,961,999.262,025,225.9719,619,506.381,990,478.6721,867,413.972,218,538.0324,375,675.502,473,011.36
20,815,872.912,111,854.9220,394,229.272,069,077.4623,099,285.612,343,516.4226,410,584.202,679,461.12
21,730,656.892,204,663.4721,218,344.362,152,687.2824,386,369.172,474,096.2828,431,141.762,884,454.90
22,713,712.022,304,398.4122,099,224.872,242,056.1925,804,553.372,617,976.8330,719,674.733,116,635.87
23,773,458.442,411,913.9923,041,938.882,337,698.3627,236,441.732,763,247.7233,023,251.793,350,343.13
24,919,890.212,528,224.1624,054,554.192,440,432.3029,150,585.652,957,445.4036,385,957.343,691,503.27
CONTAMINACION TOTAL KG/HORACONTAMINACION TOTAL KG/HORA
11,64911,649.3011,649.3011,649.30
12,188.3512,185.0812,188.3212,188.32
12,759.2712,754.2512,762.4112,762.59
13,364.8113,357.6513,384.4813,388.04
14,007.3413,997.3814,053.2514,059.70
14,689.1114,675.6814,770.6014,788.69
15,412.5315,394.9515,515.9615,566.93
16,180.1516,157.6916,307.9016,394.81
16,994.6916,966.5917,157.7217,309.77
17,859.0317,824.5118,048.9518,268.66
18,776.2218,734.4619,006.8619,309.47
19,749.5119,699.6520,019.9920,411.46
20,782.3320,723.5021,089.5621,558.24
21,878.3421,809.6122,226.5022,781.65
23,041.4222,961.8223,421.8724,059.54
24,275.6824,184.2324,724.3025,496.31
ORDENAMIENTO TERRITORIAL MED
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
GINIIDHGINIIDHGINIIDHGINIIDH
0.578.270.578.270.578.270.578.27
0.4978.460.578.410.4978.460.4978.46
0.4978.620.4978.540.4978.670.4978.67
0.4878.780.4978.680.4879.090.4779.15
0.4878.960.4878.810.4679.650.4679.74
0.4779.140.4878.950.4580.10.4580.26
0.4779.330.4879.080.4580.380.4480.82
0.4679.520.4779.210.4580.680.4481.41
0.4679.720.4779.330.4481.080.4382.25
0.4579.870.4679.450.4481.390.4282.85
0.4579.990.4679.570.4381.830.4183.62
0.4580.120.4679.690.4382.190.484.23
0.4580.250.4579.790.4282.470.484.75
0.4580.390.4579.860.4282.770.3985.26
0.4580.530.4579.920.4283.020.3885.68
0.4580.670.4579.980.4183.480.3786.34
0.450.450.410.37
80.6779.9883.4886.34
ORDENAMIENTO TERRITORIAL VA
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
OCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADO
INDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIAL
20043,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041.951.240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.00
20053,801,050.2910,311,447.568,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,573.374,021,219.2610,278,632.398,880,555.535,532,078.8842.477.005.024,070,646.3510,282,088.148,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,558.954,003,777.6910,283,554.968,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,558.95
20064,133,476.2410,648,299.248,935,735.835,545,873.9643,038,745.134,582,773.8410,394,880.238,935,735.835,545,873.9643.032.964.144,733,047.5510,498,590.438,935,735.835,545,873.9643,040,242.264,550,472.6010,558,115.668,935,735.835,545,873.9643,040,333.39
20074,418,244.7910,970,167.378,993,123.345,560,220.8443,632,455.075,054,988.0410,430,629.068,993,123.345,560,220.8443.620.464.265,330,775.5511,204,115.198,993,123.345,560,220.8443,645,646.755,349,134.9511,274,558.438,993,123.345,560,220.8443,647,636.65
20084,705,032.0111,300,221.269,052,806.365,575,141.5944,262,176.705,466,918.9110,451,955.579,052,806.365,575,141.5944.241.217.955,783,075.4211,862,490.369,052,806.365,575,141.5944,310,077.565,729,464.4411,918,174.309,052,806.365,575,141.5944,317,382.44
20094,993,825.2311,638,699.549,114,876.695,590,659.1744,930,377.825,815,935.9610,470,866.399,114,876.695,590,659.1744.896.844.396,211,647.8912,624,752.049,114,876.695,590,659.1745,047,370.756,038,848.0612,608,009.469,114,876.695,590,659.1745,068,110.36
20105,284,610.6711,985,848.359,179,429.845,606,797.4645,639,598.126,089,493.5510,673,036.419,179,429.845,606,797.4645.588.940.876,627,026.6513,105,047.189,179,429.845,606,797.4645,860,632.746,845,977.5313,119,871.419,179,429.845,606,797.4645,920,579.29
20115,577,373.4512,341,921.629,246,565.115,623,581.2846,392,539.196,285,607.2510,979,810.429,246,565.115,623,581.2846.319.163.646,928,806.4414,164,839.149,246,565.115,623,581.2846,746,992.547,660,965.0414,162,152.909,246,565.115,623,581.2846,887,824.25
20125,872,097.5412,707,181.369,316,385.805,641,036.4547,192,081.126,469,994.5911,311,582.749,316,385.805,641,036.4547.089.235.357,191,535.7515,153,481.809,316,385.805,641,036.4547,719,762.148,417,231.4815,467,550.599,316,385.805,641,036.4548,003,455.90
20136,168,765.6713,081,897.859,388,999.315,659,189.8348,041,397.736,646,405.6111,674,683.849,388,999.315,659,189.8347.900.917.407,431,186.5915,642,098.679,388,999.315,659,189.8348,786,073.898,992,525.8716,120,808.839,388,999.315,659,189.8349,299,006.07
20146,467,359.3513,466,350.009,464,517.365,678,069.3448,944,189.496,814,179.5412,072,181.909,464,517.365,678,069.3448.756.043.567,668,642.6815,944,532.069,464,517.365,678,069.3449,954,249.899,540,203.7116,754,424.969,464,517.365,678,069.3450,797,004.18
20156,767,858.8313,860,825.589,543,056.135,697,704.0349,904,007.376,977,564.7712,506,873.669,543,056.135,697,704.0349.656.485.397,874,160.3516,207,998.259,543,056.135,697,704.0351,239,938.2110,182,859.1317,138,299.049,543,056.135,697,704.0352,533,273.96
20167,070,243.0014,265,621.569,624,736.465,718,124.1150,924,571.207,129,188.1612,526,085.379,624,736.465,718,124.1150.604.153.928,065,200.2616,252,189.739,624,736.465,718,124.1152,646,568.2310,628,434.6617,407,994.329,624,736.465,718,124.1154,513,438.88
20177,374,489.4214,681,044.389,709,683.995,739,361.0052,009,893.797,272,379.0612,555,364.219,709,683.995,739,361.0051.601.293.038,229,582.3916,330,763.229,709,683.995,739,361.0054,182,227.8210,740,915.5417,580,706.499,709,683.995,739,361.0056,749,608.72
20187,680,574.2115,107,410.289,798,029.435,761,447.3653,164,288.857,414,960.6812,663,203.269,798,029.435,761,447.3652.650.172.958,415,355.7416,337,765.569,798,029.435,761,447.3655,851,842.8010,791,163.9217,641,330.269,798,029.435,761,447.3659,258,377.76
20197,988,472.0715,545,045.649,889,908.695,784,417.1754,392,398.257,556,500.4112,779,608.699,889,908.695,784,417.1753.753.056.448,622,554.5216,520,426.969,889,908.695,784,417.1757,682,399.5210,888,877.5617,814,947.069,889,908.695,784,417.1762,106,934.46
REQUERIMIENTOS4,676,532.075,609,225.644,244,560.412,843,788.695,310,614.526,584,606.967,576,937.567,879,127.06
3,311,9407,988,4727,556,5008,622,55510,888,878
9,935,82015,545,04612,779,60916,520,42717,814,947
8,831,8409,889,9099,889,9099,889,9099,889,909
5,519,9005,784,4175,784,4175,784,4175,784,417
41,951,24054,392,39853,753,05657,682,40062,106,934
Administrador:Asumiendo que la industria ocupa actualmente el 3% del territorio urbano (110 km2). FUENTE: Municipio
ECONMICO
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
OCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADO
INDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIAL
200410,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.00
200511,523,475.6718,568,633.3116,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,505.8111,479,940.2218,347,519.6716,005,947.729,691,229.4363,225,895.1011,870,148.5518,533,157.3416,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,481.8011,784,162.3118,534,929.7516,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,481.80
200611,950,941.3418,975,662.4216,097,711.679,714,170.4264,159,959.3412,095,383.7818,455,933.9716,097,711.679,714,170.4264,150,344.1012,721,928.5618,794,764.2716,097,711.679,714,170.4264,162,448.1212,487,155.9018,866,690.5916,097,711.679,714,170.4264,162,599.62
200712,317,124.5019,364,586.4016,193,025.269,737,998.8165,145,935.6912,611,350.3918,507,170.1816,193,025.269,737,998.8165,126,008.1113,490,545.4519,647,273.3516,193,025.269,737,998.8165,167,842.7413,514,153.7719,732,392.2716,193,025.269,737,998.8165,171,146.92
200812,685,903.4519,763,401.5216,292,033.339,762,750.8366,190,477.8513,026,066.2618,531,280.0716,292,033.339,762,750.8366,155,675.2614,072,156.7020,442,810.0216,292,033.339,762,750.8366,269,954.0914,003,218.4720,510,094.7816,292,033.339,762,750.8366,282,073.99
200913,057,261.9020,172,396.1116,394,886.609,788,464.1567,297,614.7913,378,443.9218,705,959.1816,394,886.609,788,464.1567,241,977.8014,623,256.9421,363,876.2216,394,886.609,788,464.1567,491,563.5414,401,054.0921,343,645.6016,394,886.609,788,464.1567,525,941.38
201013,431,182.1520,591,867.5816,501,741.879,815,177.9768,471,490.9713,687,181.6118,995,672.4616,501,741.879,815,177.9768,387,511.8115,157,391.4221,944,232.8416,501,741.879,815,177.9768,837,643.0415,438,939.8021,962,145.4616,501,741.879,815,177.9768,936,909.61
201113,807,645.0721,022,122.7916,612,762.279,842,933.0769,716,515.9913,964,005.5019,357,508.5516,612,762.279,842,933.0769,594,971.6215,545,449.2923,224,814.8016,612,762.279,842,933.0770,303,279.3016,486,930.1423,221,568.9316,612,762.279,842,933.0770,536,288.46
201214,186,630.0121,463,478.3116,728,117.589,871,771.9071,037,392.0814,210,908.3319,682,043.1116,728,117.589,871,771.9070,867,162.3815,883,292.2224,419,424.6716,728,117.589,871,771.9071,910,330.0417,459,411.2224,798,924.4716,728,117.589,871,771.9072,379,344.09
201314,568,114.8021,916,260.7316,847,984.449,901,738.6172,439,304.4214,429,591.3820,111,527.3116,847,984.449,901,738.6172,206,954.5516,191,458.6225,009,836.7316,847,984.449,901,738.6173,670,419.5218,199,180.8125,588,278.1716,847,984.449,901,738.6174,517,814.34
201414,952,075.6622,380,807.0816,972,546.679,932,879.1773,928,305.0014,621,681.9420,680,028.4916,972,546.679,932,879.1773,617,339.6916,496,802.8025,375,277.0716,972,546.679,932,879.1775,597,121.4218,903,438.3326,353,897.6616,972,546.679,932,879.1776,988,491.58
201515,338,487.1622,857,465.0817,101,995.579,965,241.3975,510,196.9514,788,736.0821,441,970.3317,101,995.579,965,241.3975,101,373.8516,761,077.4525,693,632.0617,101,995.579,965,241.3977,716,082.0019,729,827.2926,817,745.5117,101,995.579,965,241.3979,850,053.40
201615,727,322.2023,346,593.5617,236,530.229,998,875.0577,191,061.0014,932,241.3022,471,148.5417,236,530.229,998,875.0576,662,180.5717,006,735.1825,747,030.0917,236,530.229,998,875.0580,032,792.1620,302,791.7227,143,627.3117,236,530.229,998,875.0583,111,365.68
201716,118,551.8823,848,562.7917,376,357.8110,033,831.9578,977,460.4215,053,619.1323,398,016.1017,376,357.8110,033,831.9578,303,434.2417,218,113.7425,841,973.0617,376,357.8110,033,831.9582,560,425.6120,447,430.6027,352,321.1717,376,357.8110,033,831.9586,792,004.40
201816,512,145.5324,363,754.9217,521,693.9910,070,166.0080,876,454.2815,154,227.6324,441,819.6717,521,693.9910,070,166.0080,028,855.3317,456,999.2225,850,434.2217,521,693.9910,070,166.0085,306,960.4420,512,044.8627,425,574.9017,521,693.9910,070,166.0090,918,951.35
201916,908,070.6024,892,564.3217,672,763.2110,107,933.3082,895,642.6615,235,363.8124,826,000.4917,672,763.2110,107,933.3081,842,155.2317,723,435.6026,071,150.0817,672,763.2110,107,933.3088,316,653.0920,637,694.5827,635,361.8717,672,763.2110,107,933.3095,602,371.02
REQUERIMIENTOS6,013,540.606,777,814.321,747,933.21436,983.3020,545,162.664,340,833.816,711,250.491,747,933.21436,983.3019,491,675.236,828,905.607,956,400.081,747,933.21436,983.3025,966,173.099,743,164.589,520,611.871,747,933.21436,983.3033,251,891.02
16,908,07115,235,36417,723,43620,637,695
24,892,56424,826,00026,071,15027,635,362
17,672,76317,672,76317,672,76317,672,763
10,107,93310,107,93310,107,93310,107,933
82,895,64381,842,15588,316,65395,602,371
DEMANDAS
BASE
EXPORTACIONES ANUALESINGRESO PER CAPITACREC PIBDESEMPLEOGINIIDH
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,485.812,490.514.20.130.4978.46
20061,559.972,551.203.580.130.4978.62
20071,637.842,615.213.590.130.4878.78
20081,719.602,682.813.60.120.4878.96
20091,805.442,752.863.610.120.4779.140.470.480.450.44
20101,895.572,825.383.620.120.4779.3379.3379.0880.3880.82
20111,990.192,900.423.630.110.4679.5212%18%7%7%
20122,089.552,977.963.630.110.4679.72
20132,193.873,057.983.640.110.4579.87
20142,303.393,140.523.650.100.4579.99
20152,418.393,225.423.660.100.4580.12
20162,539.133,312.783.670.100.4580.25
20172,665.903,402.843.680.090.4580.39
20182,799.013,495.763.680.090.4580.53
20192,938.763,591.793.690.080.4580.67
ALTO
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,484.162,490.324.190.130.4978.46
20061,619.852,570.604.360.120.4978.67
20071,792.482,733.337.240.100.4879.09
20081,903.762,949.058.630.090.4679.65
20092,070.373,215.619.750.080.4580.1
20102,271.843,395.156.480.070.4580.38
20112,443.583,596.686.770.050.4580.68
20122,667.193,859.928.090.030.4481.08
20132,933.484,068.556.360.030.4481.39
20143,259.794,359.917.930.030.4381.83
20153,610.504,637.207.170.030.4382.19
20163,997.604,897.196.510.040.4282.47
20174,387.595,180.466.640.050.4282.77
20184,859.385,413.345.380.060.4283.02
20195,418.555,845.278.670.060.4183.48
DEGRADATIVO
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,414.152,470.163.380.130.578.41
20061,493.972,522.133.260.140.4978.54
20071,573.792,574.153.150.150.4978.68
20081,653.602,626.423.060.160.4878.81
20091,733.422,677.792.970.170.4878.95
20101,813.242,728.222.880.180.4879.08
20111,893.052,777.712.80.190.4779.21
20121,972.872,826.182.720.190.4779.33
20132,052.692,873.572.650.200.4679.45
20142,132.502,919.862.580.210.4679.57
20152,212.322,964.832.520.210.4679.69
20162,292.143,008.542.460.210.4579.79
20172,371.953,051.162.40.210.4579.86
20182,451.773,092.762.340.220.4579.92
20192,531.593,133.482.290.220.4579.98
9000.3
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,484.162,490.324.190.130.4978.46
20061,627.812,571.744.40.130.4978.67
20071,949.652,754.937.990.10.4779.15
20082,155.242,986.029.090.10.4679.74
20092,460.783,320.4111.760.090.4580.26
20102,790.303,687.2511.620.070.4480.82
20113,295.514,079.2711.220.040.4481.41
20123,825.014,698.1115.3400.4382.25
20134,439.715,254.2312.43-0.010.4282.85
20145,150.285,973.0414-0.010.4183.62
20155,900.806,694.6312.51-0.020.484.23
20166,739.517,322.9810.1-0.010.484.75
20177,455.768,024.4910.280.010.3985.26
20188,185.628,640.138.450.030.3885.68
20199,114.719,730.7113.020.040.3786.34
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVOESCENARIO BASEESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO 9000.3ESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO ALTO
AO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHMESES1. SUELO INDUSTRIAL DESTINADO POR EL POT INDUSTRIADEMANDA INDUSTRIA MEDELLNPOT RESIDENCIALDEMANDA RESIDENCIAL MEDELLNPOT COMERCIODEMANDA COMERCIO MEDELLNEPSARSSISBENAFILIADAS A OTROSIN AFILIACINPERSONAS CON PRIMARIADEMANDA PRIMARIAPERSONAS CON SECUNDARIADEMANDA SECUNDARIAPERSONAS CON SUPERIORDEMANDA SUPERIORRS RESIDENCIALESRS ACT. ECONMICACONTAMINACIN TOTAL KG/HORACONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDENCIALCONSUMO DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICADESECHOS DE AGUA RESIDENCIALDESECHOS DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICADEMANDA DE VIAJES TRANSPORTE PBLICODEMANDA DE VIAJES TAXIDEMANDA DE VIAJES MOTOCICLETADEMANDA DE VIAJES PARTICULAR
20040.141,334.332,415.940.5078.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.5078.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.578.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.578.2703,254,049.623,254,049.6241,217,961.8733,493,454.509,762,148.869,762,148.8633%2%51%17%9%2,027,265.901,519,422.121,039,443.68615,012.46163,713.00162,119.4456,005.4218,879.5311,649.3013,435,004.771,363,035.8413,144,162.271,333,528.6939,934,468.806,133,760.404,211,568.6015,118,521.60
20050.131,414.152,470.160.5078.4120050.131,485.812,490.510.4978.4620050.131,484.162,490.320.4978.4620050.131,484.162,490.320.4978.46123,254,049.623,806,772.6241,217,961.8734,715,573.189,762,148.8610,092,210.4034%2%49%17%9%2,051,388.851,546,071.061,064,406.96636,506.07174,869.30169,981.6956,973.3619,498.4311,667.7913,869,397.711,407,106.7713,571,307.041,376,864.2640,227,471.496,213,729.354,216,003.8115,486,615.13
20060.141,493.972,522.130.4978.5420060.131,559.972,551.200.4978.6220060.121,619.852,570.600.4978.6720060.131,627.812,571.740.4978.67243,254,049.624,273,970.1041,217,961.8736,051,341.949,762,148.8610,337,130.8935%2%48%17%9%2,077,280.741,571,631.651,089,839.90656,485.60186,071.53177,406.8757,945.9220,137.0411,687.1414,321,253.291,452,949.3614,015,447.471,421,924.1240,564,207.176,292,783.674,219,130.8615,929,272.02
20070.151,573.792,574.150.4978.6820070.131,637.842,615.210.4878.7820070.101,792.482,733.330.4879.0920070.11,949.652,754.930.4779.15363,254,049.624,771,732.7441,217,961.8737,528,133.869,762,148.8610,903,248.8236%2%45%18%9%2,104,494.511,606,538.251,115,676.06690,833.43197,240.06191,571.2959,252.7320,964.2011,721.8614,914,133.351,513,099.4514,600,115.321,481,241.0540,798,855.246,380,153.234,192,995.2316,728,030.22
20080.161,653.602,626.420.4878.8120080.121,719.602,682.810.4878.9620080.091,903.762,949.050.4679.6520080.12,155.242,986.020.4679.74483,254,049.625,138,841.9641,217,961.8739,193,285.879,762,148.8611,467,449.6437%1%41%18%9%2,132,641.371,644,718.171,141,804.52730,824.31208,378.96209,412.1060,776.3721,899.9011,766.5715,604,099.821,583,099.3515,281,340.501,550,354.1140,960,202.706,431,768.884,129,195.3017,695,526.69
20090.171,733.422,677.790.4878.9520090.121,805.442,752.860.4779.1420090.082,070.373,215.610.4580.120090.092,460.783,320.410.4580.26603,254,049.625,523,294.6341,217,961.8741,089,995.359,762,148.8612,062,487.3139%1%38%18%9%2,161,650.021,686,434.041,168,240.23776,013.60219,498.13231,325.7062,586.7122,943.0511,821.5016,402,814.941,664,132.2516,070,751.171,630,443.0341,059,689.306,408,755.024,009,977.7218,825,699.01
20100.181,813.242,728.220.4879.0820100.121,895.572,825.380.4779.3320100.072,271.843,395.150.4580.3820100.072,790.303,687.250.4480.82723,254,049.625,915,833.1741,217,961.8743,234,316.709,762,148.8612,613,881.6640%1%36%18%9%2,191,430.171,718,557.361,194,969.30807,440.68230,603.22247,033.9764,098.0923,894.1111,863.4017,134,637.331,738,378.6116,792,669.641,703,684.5941,238,992.936,353,353.873,904,034.7119,787,432.99
20110.191,893.052,777.710.4779.2120110.111,990.192,900.420.4679.5220110.052,443.583,596.680.4580.6820110.043,295.514,079.270.4481.41843,254,049.626,203,774.4141,217,961.8745,627,870.859,762,148.8613,486,182.6541%1%34%18%9%2,221,927.461,751,629.521,221,971.35840,225.73241,698.77264,319.0565,744.8524,915.9711,907.7817,937,187.971,819,800.6317,584,678.301,784,037.0941,402,542.706,243,985.603,768,508.2020,758,361.30
20120.191,972.872,826.180.4779.3320120.112,089.552,977.960.4679.7220120.032,667.193,859.920.4481.08201203,825.014,698.110.4382.25963,254,049.626,534,621.4641,217,961.8748,318,628.009,762,148.8614,226,148.9943%1%31%19%8%2,253,149.371,789,524.711,249,244.69879,940.94252,859.10286,948.2467,793.0426,077.2411,964.8518,885,654.031,916,026.3718,521,923.201,879,124.4041,488,311.776,008,073.883,548,893.4821,937,859.11
20130.202,052.692,873.570.4679.4520130.112,193.873,057.980.4579.8720130.032,933.484,068.550.4481.39201304,439.715,254.230.4282.851083,254,049.626,844,618.0241,217,961.8751,340,513.619,762,148.8614,638,647.7644%1%30%19%8%2,285,107.501,821,864.851,276,811.05911,650.72264,022.64305,507.2069,638.9327,213.7512,013.9319,811,415.022,009,948.5819,435,740.091,971,834.8341,626,018.835,755,439.893,338,908.1422,905,231.75
20140.212,132.502,919.860.4679.5720140.102,303.393,140.520.4579.9920140.033,259.794,359.910.4381.83201405,150.285,973.040.4183.621203,254,049.627,184,654.0941,217,961.8754,731,338.679,762,148.8614,937,657.7645%1%28%19%8%2,317,775.071,859,867.921,304,677.91951,429.13275,195.04330,778.9472,037.0128,515.4112,077.9220,923,113.622,122,734.9220,534,725.082,083,331.3341,676,617.105,307,577.533,009,276.3824,186,021.46
20150.212,212.322,964.830.4679.6920150.102,418.393,225.420.4580.1220150.033,610.504,637.200.4382.19201505,900.806,694.630.484.231323,254,049.627,535,178.7841,217,961.8758,554,448.729,762,148.8615,170,388.3347%1%26%19%8%2,351,055.231,895,986.151,332,823.90988,450.08286,309.63355,463.9574,497.9329,862.0712,142.2922,089,017.902,241,020.6521,687,096.662,200,244.1141,731,401.494,757,892.852,633,144.7325,507,113.14
20160.212,292.143,008.540.4579.7920160.102,539.133,312.780.4580.2520160.043,997.604,897.190.4282.47201606,739.517,322.980.484.751443,254,049.627,903,806.4941,217,961.8762,840,035.259,762,148.8615,522,650.4848%1%25%19%8%2,384,802.711,930,281.981,361,209.311,022,817.40297,434.91379,309.5576,988.6331,258.1612,204.8823,308,110.282,364,702.5322,891,784.482,322,464.5841,801,851.304,136,223.892,228,500.1026,731,972.22
20170.212,371.953,051.160.4579.8620170.092,665.903,402.840.4580.3920170.054,387.595,180.460.4282.7720170.017,455.768,024.490.3985.261563,254,049.628,224,563.1441,217,961.8767,632,008.519,762,148.8615,643,915.5649%1%23%20%8%2,418,869.951,963,775.651,389,763.541,057,819.74308,565.59404,868.9579,717.6032,749.8112,271.6724,638,478.382,499,673.7824,206,819.982,455,880.2841,849,955.063,365,476.771,747,872.3728,131,717.72
20180.222,451.773,092.760.4579.9220180.092,799.013,495.760.4580.5320180.064,859.385,413.340.4283.0220180.038,185.628,640.130.3885.681683,254,049.628,645,856.2841,217,961.8772,969,124.309,762,148.8615,678,553.4550%1%22%20%8%2,453,139.761,993,845.201,418,407.271,088,343.39319,694.09427,583.5982,296.0134,276.1112,332.6425,989,973.352,636,788.4425,541,994.532,591,339.1741,938,906.372,595,448.801,280,123.6129,373,457.17
20190.222,531.593,133.480.4579.9820190.082,938.763,591.790.4580.6720190.065,418.555,845.270.4183.4820190.049,114.719,730.710.3786.341803,254,049.629,207,539.9341,217,961.8778,973,500.339,762,148.8616,141,133.7351%1%21%20%8%2,487,483.842,034,399.611,447,072.311,135,554.41330,812.98467,374.7286,572.2936,128.2412,432.9927,809,225.132,821,358.9327,343,874.432,774,147.2141,789,001.481,011,831.00362,132.0831,296,335.11
37,755,538.46
0.140.140.140.14
0.130.130.130.13
0.140.130.120.13
0.150.130.10.1
0.160.120.090.1
0.170.120.080.09
0.180.120.070.07
0.190.110.050.04
0.190.110.030
0.20.110.030
0.210.10.030
0.210.10.030
0.210.10.040
0.210.090.050.01
0.220.090.060.03
0.220.080.060.04
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
AO
TASA DE DESEMPLEO
2415.942415.942415.942415.94
2470.162490.512490.322490.32
2522.132551.22570.62571.74
2574.152615.212733.332754.93
2626.422682.812949.052986.02
2677.792752.863215.613320.41
2728.222825.383395.153687.25
2777.712900.423596.684079.27
2826.182977.963859.924698.11
2873.573057.984068.555254.23
2919.863140.524359.915973.04
2964.833225.424637.26694.63
3008.543312.784897.197322.98
3051.163402.845180.468024.49
3092.763495.765413.348640.13
3133.483591.795845.279730.71
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
PIB PER CAPITA US
0.50.50.50.5
0.50.490.490.49
0.490.490.490.49
0.490.480.480.47
0.480.480.460.46
0.480.470.450.45
0.480.470.450.44
0.470.460.450.44
0.470.460.440.43
0.460.450.440.42
0.460.450.430.41
0.460.450.430.4
0.450.450.420.4
0.450.450.420.39
0.450.450.420.38
0.450.450.410.37
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
GINI
1334.331334.331334.331334.33
1414.151485.811484.161484.16
1493.971559.971619.851627.81
1573.791637.841792.481949.65
1653.61719.61903.762155.24
1733.421805.442070.372460.78
1813.241895.572271.842790.3
1893.051990.192443.583295.51
1972.872089.552667.193825.01
2052.692193.872933.484439.71
2132.52303.393259.795150.28
2212.322418.393610.55900.8
2292.142539.133997.66739.51
2371.952665.94387.597455.76
2451.772799.014859.388185.62
2531.592938.765418.559114.71
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US (millones de dlares)
78.2778.2778.2778.27
78.4178.4678.4678.46
78.5478.6278.6778.67
78.6878.7879.0979.15
78.8178.9679.6579.74
78.9579.1480.180.26
79.0879.3380.3880.82
79.2179.5280.6881.41
79.3379.7281.0882.25
79.4579.8781.3982.85
79.5779.9981.8383.62
79.6980.1282.1984.23
79.7980.2582.4784.75
79.8680.3982.7785.26
79.9280.5383.0285.68
79.9880.6783.4886.34
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
IDH
41217961.8733493454.5
41217961.8734715573.18
41217961.8736051341.94
41217961.8737528133.86
41217961.8739193285.87
41217961.8741089995.35
41217961.8743234316.7
41217961.8745627870.85
41217961.8748318628
41217961.8751340513.61
41217961.8754731338.67
41217961.8758554448.72
41217961.8762840035.25
41217961.8767632008.51
41217961.8772969124.3
41217961.8778973500.33
POT
DEMANDA DE SUELO RESIDENCIAL
SUELO RESIDENCIAL(Escenario Alto)
3254049.623254049.62
3254049.623806772.62
3254049.624273970.1
3254049.624771732.74
3254049.625138841.96
3254049.625523294.63
3254049.625915833.17
3254049.626203774.41
3254049.626534621.46
3254049.626844618.02
3254049.627184654.09
3254049.627535178.78
3254049.627903806.49
3254049.628224563.14
3254049.628645856.28
3254049.629207539.93
POT
DEMANDA DE SUELO INDUSTRIAL
SUELO INDUSTRIAL(Escenario Alto)
33493454.541217961.87
34715573.1841217961.87
36051341.9441217961.87
37528133.8641217961.87
39193285.8741217961.87
41089995.3541217961.87
43234316.741217961.87
45627870.8541217961.87
4831862841217961.87
51340513.6141217961.87
54731338.6741217961.87
58554448.7241217961.87
62840035.2541217961.87
67632008.5141217961.87
72969124.341217961.87
78973500.3341217961.87
DEMANDA DE SUELO RESIDENCIAL
POT
SUELO RESIDENCIAL(Escenario Alto)
3254049.623254049.62
3254049.623806772.62
3254049.624273970.1
3254049.624771732.74
3254049.625138841.96
3254049.625523294.63
3254049.625915833.17
3254049.626203774.41
3254049.626534621.46
3254049.626844618.02
3254049.627184654.09
3254049.627535178.78
3254049.627903806.49
3254049.628224563.14
3254049.628645856.28
3254049.629207539.93
POT
DEMANDA DE SUELO INDUSTRIAL
SUELO INDUSTRIAL(Escenario Alto)
9762148.869762148.86
9762148.8610092210.4
9762148.8610337130.89
9762148.8610903248.82
9762148.8611467449.64
9762148.8612062487.31
9762148.8612613881.66
9762148.8613486182.65
9762148.8614226148.99
9762148.8614638647.76
9762148.8614937657.76
9762148.8615170388.33
9762148.8615522650.48
9762148.8615643915.56
9762148.8615678553.45
9762148.8616141133.73
POT
DEMANDA DE SUELO COMERCIO Y SERVICIOS
SUELO COMERCIO Y SERVICIOS(Escenario Alto)
9762148.869762148.86
10092210.49762148.86
10337130.899762148.86
10903248.829762148.86
11467449.649762148.86
12062487.319762148.86
12613881.669762148.86
13486182.659762148.86
14226148.999762148.86
14638647.769762148.86
14937657.769762148.86
15170388.339762148.86
15522650.489762148.86
15643915.569762148.86
15678553.459762148.86
16141133.739762148.86
DEMANDA DE SUELO COMERCIO Y SERVICIOS
POT
SUELO COMERCIO Y SERVICIOS(Escenario Alto)
0.51
0.01
0.21
0.2
0.08
SALUD
SALUD(En 15 aos)
52%
0.33
0.02
0.51
0.17
0.09
SALUD
SALUD(Actualmente...)
2027265.9
1519422.12
1039443.68
615012.46
163713
162119.44
EDUCACIN
EDUCACIN(Actualmente...)
2487483.84
2034399.61
1447072.31
1135554.41
330812.98
467374.72
EDUCACIN
EDUCACIN(En 15 aos...)
86572.29
36128.24
RESIDUOS SLIDOS(En 15 aos)
RS RESIDENCIALES 86,572.29 71%
RS ACT. ECONMICA 36,128.24 29%
56005.4218879.53
56973.3619498.43
57945.9220137.04
59252.7320964.2
60776.3721899.9
62586.7122943.05
64098.0923894.11
65744.8524915.97
67793.0426077.24
69638.9327213.75
72037.0128515.41
74497.9329862.07
76988.6331258.16
79717.632749.81
82296.0134276.11
86572.2936128.24
RS RESIDENCIALES
RS ACT. ECONMICA
RESIDUOS SLIDOS(Escenario Alto)
11649.3
11667.79
11687.14
11721.86
11766.57
11821.5
11863.4
11907.78
11964.85
12013.93
12077.92
12142.29
12204.88
12271.67
12332.64
12432.99
CONTAMINACIN
CONTAMINACIN ATMOSFERICA(Kg/hora)
27809225.13
2821358.93
CONSUMO DE AGUA(En 15 aos)
CONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDENCIAL 28,407,202.75m3/mes 91%
CONSUMO DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICA 2,882,026.19 m3/mes 9%
27343874.43
2774147.21
VERTIMIENTO DE AGUA(En 15 aos)
DESECHOS DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICA 2,774,017.15 9%
41789001.48
1011831
362132.08
31296335.11
SALUD
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(En 15 aos)
39934468.8
6133760.4
4211568.6
15118521.6
SALUD
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(Actualmente)
13435004.771363035.84
13869397.711407106.77
14321253.291452949.36
14914133.351513099.45
15604099.821583099.35
16402814.941664132.25
17134637.331738378.61
17937187.971819800.63
18885654.031916026.37
19811415.022009948.58
20923113.622122734.92
22089017.92241020.65
23308110.282364702.53
24638478.382499673.78
25989973.352636788.44
27809225.132821358.93
CONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDENCIAL
CONSUMO DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICA
CONSUMO DE AGUA(Escenario Alto)
56005.4218879.53
56973.3619498.43
57945.9220137.04
59252.7320964.2
60776.3721899.9
62586.7122943.05
64098.0923894.11
65744.8524915.97
67793.0426077.24
69638.9327213.75
72037.0128515.41
74497.9329862.07
76988.6331258.16
79717.632749.81
82296.0134276.11
86572.2936128.24
RS RESIDENCIAL
RS ACT. ECONMICA
RESIDUOS SLIDOS(Escenario Alto)
13144162.271333528.69
13571307.041376864.26
14015447.471421924.12
14600115.321481241.05
15281340.51550354.11
16070751.171630443.03
16792669.641703684.59
17584678.31784037.09
18521923.21879124.4
19435740.091971834.83
20534725.082083331.33
21687096.662200244.11
22891784.482322464.58
24206819.982455880.28
25541994.532591339.17
27343874.432774147.21
VERTIMIENTO DE AGUA RESIDENCIAL
VERTIMIENTO DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICA
VERTIMIENTO DE AGUA(Escenario Alto)
EXPORTACIONES
Grfico2
1334.331334.331334.331334.33
1414.151485.811484.161484.16
1493.971559.971619.851627.81
1573.791637.841792.481949.65
1653.61719.61903.762155.24
1733.421805.442070.372460.78
1813.241895.572271.842790.3
1893.051990.192443.583295.51
1972.872089.552667.193825.01
2052.692193.872933.484439.71
2132.52303.393259.795150.28
2212.322418.393610.55900.8
2292.142539.133997.66739.51
2371.952665.94387.597455.76
2451.772799.014859.388185.62
2531.592938.765418.559114.71
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVO
ESCENARIO BASE
ESCENARIO ALTO
ESCENARIO 9000.3
EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US (millones de dlares)
MOVILIDAD
VIAJES DIARIOS
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARTRANSPROTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULAR
20041,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.421,330,712.52204,000.77140,253.39502,984.42
20051,329,629.18214,318.43144,029.84529,454.291,334,128.99212,170.35143,442.97523,885.391,329,670.55214,298.75144,024.45529,403.301,329,670.55214,298.75144,024.45529,403.30
20061,331,704.14223,692.13147,494.19552,202.891,338,199.95220,182.60146,646.27544,340.981,327,374.49226,093.46148,059.71557,393.691,327,120.12226,234.03148,092.94557,697.44
20071,332,100.51234,132.70151,025.55575,522.711,341,363.52229,055.62149,814.26564,561.481,305,508.58248,316.40154,516.71609,429.881,300,653.73250,945.33155,156.96616,506.01
20081,330,683.34244,864.69154,626.27599,391.641,343,516.40237,974.64152,943.50584,548.911,270,332.18279,626.54162,637.49684,754.551,261,985.49284,394.03163,762.52696,044.19
20091,328,323.39255,900.70158,338.06628,703.941,345,558.63246,776.84156,069.65604,253.581,232,619.68309,866.00167,924.45777,313.421,214,029.76319,479.53168,634.56809,733.35
20101,325,046.88268,654.87162,170.84659,194.331,347,546.30255,466.80159,195.82626,765.421,213,165.67329,481.68170,750.09840,718.201,162,873.25354,608.11173,215.64937,253.30
20111,320,842.60281,692.12166,133.76690,333.251,349,498.75264,644.39162,323.59649,893.311,190,078.18350,507.86173,098.48916,720.121,109,540.36389,441.58185,088.751,079,658.82
20121,315,761.09295,007.93170,238.97722,107.431,351,497.64274,170.34165,456.77672,718.341,156,901.47376,015.35181,331.501,012,976.171,024,274.44437,565.30200,816.821,305,783.64
20131,312,468.41306,840.14173,285.66756,137.581,353,607.47283,576.60168,598.39695,250.731,133,466.31396,385.08188,516.131,097,490.03954,747.12477,067.55212,758.391,496,916.56
20141,309,640.77318,231.77175,831.05791,856.501,355,859.00292,869.11171,750.07717,505.221,097,033.96422,482.05197,474.291,211,229.55868,309.66522,824.97224,320.221,719,688.06
20151,306,441.32329,860.34178,313.78828,308.591,358,413.37302,046.75174,918.21739,481.441,064,271.50446,527.98205,588.561,323,853.72790,973.88564,235.42231,365.151,920,301.93
20161,302,839.83341,730.84180,721.65865,511.251,361,650.53310,848.62177,922.97761,236.021,035,438.79468,584.92212,842.731,426,275.14730,043.47598,691.78234,331.592,085,553.79
20171,298,721.74353,846.83183,034.20903,489.571,366,692.80318,478.88180,189.47784,157.261,003,861.65491,645.86220,094.261,533,707.98664,737.31634,938.50233,786.572,259,801.70
20181,294,032.10366,211.41185,234.11945,639.231,371,907.42326,051.34182,431.57806,858.33980,176.19511,097.89226,060.861,622,796.88611,557.82666,237.54230,048.052,408,921.89
20191,288,681.47378,826.20187,299.28990,196.931,377,215.81333,569.71184,645.11829,363.54929,423.71541,941.15234,200.841,769,587.50523,100.65713,148.90225,325.482,637,132.99
1,377,216
333,570
184,645
829,364
REQUERIDOS SEGN OCUPACIN Y VIAJES
BASE
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULARCARGA
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.556,697.4520,004.1588,242.3824,740.12
4,932.246,990.3820,485.3092,033.8225,653.83
4,933.717,316.6520,975.7795,920.4526,590.32
4,928.467,652.0221,475.8799,898.6127,563.42
4,919.727,996.9021,991.40104,783.9928,574.62
4,907.588,395.4622,523.73109,865.7229,625.48
4,892.018,802.8823,074.13115,055.5430,717.63
4,873.199,219.0023,644.30120,351.2431,852.76
4,860.999,588.7524,067.45126,022.9333,032.63
4,850.529,944.7424,420.98131,976.0834,259.09
4,838.6710,308.1424,765.80138,051.4335,534.044,7735,1013,4421,937
4,825.3310,679.0925,100.23144,251.8836,859.4911,83810,42416,93622,286
4,810.0811,057.7125,421.42150,581.5938,237.5226,01425,64532,52831,295
4,792.7111,444.1125,726.96157,606.5439,670.30165,033138,227294,931439,522
4,772.8911,838.3226,013.79165,032.8241,160.0941,16035,94966,722110,711
DEGRADATIVO
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,941.226,630.3219,922.6387,314.2324,554.17
4,956.306,880.7120,367.5490,723.5025,368.12
4,968.017,157.9920,807.5494,093.5826,182.02
4,975.997,436.7121,242.1597,424.8226,995.94
4,983.557,711.7821,676.34100,708.9327,809.85
4,990.917,983.3422,110.53104,460.9028,623.76
4,998.148,270.1422,544.94108,315.5529,437.68
5,005.558,567.8222,980.11112,119.7230,251.59
5,013.368,861.7723,416.44115,875.1231,065.50
5,021.709,152.1623,854.18119,584.2031,879.42
5,031.169,438.9624,294.20123,246.9132,693.33
5,043.159,714.0224,711.52126,872.6733,507.25
5,061.839,952.4725,026.32130,692.8834,321.16
5,081.1410,189.1025,337.72134,476.3935,135.07
5,100.8010,424.0525,645.15138,227.2635,948.99
ALTO
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.716,696.8420,003.4088,233.8824,738.41
4,916.207,065.4220,563.8592,898.9525,832.72
4,835.227,759.8921,460.65101,571.6527,711.12
4,704.938,738.3322,588.54114,125.7630,179.29
4,565.269,683.3123,322.84129,552.2433,218.25
4,493.2110,296.3023,715.29140,119.7035,519.01
4,407.7010,953.3724,041.46152,786.6937,996.93
4,284.8211,750.4825,184.93168,829.3641,141.84
4,198.0212,387.0326,182.80182,915.0143,854.29
4,063.0913,202.5627,426.99201,871.5947,400.85
3,941.7513,954.0028,553.97220,642.2950,945.88
3,834.9614,643.2829,561.49237,712.5254,365.68
3,718.0115,363.9330,568.65255,618.0058,075.84
3,630.2815,971.8131,397.34270,466.1561,348.36
3,442.3116,935.6632,527.89294,931.2566,722.41
9000.3
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOPARTICULAR
4,928.566,375.0219,479.6483,830.7423,806.00
4,924.716,696.8420,003.4088,233.8824,738.41
4,915.267,069.8120,568.4692,949.5725,843.25
4,817.247,842.0421,549.58102,751.0027,914.00
4,674.028,887.3122,744.80116,007.3630,546.88
4,496.419,983.7423,421.47134,955.5634,249.07
4,306.9411,081.5024,057.73156,208.8838,423.54
4,109.4112,170.0525,706.77179,943.1442,948.65
3,793.6113,673.9227,891.23217,630.6149,805.76
3,536.1014,908.3629,549.78249,486.0956,373.24
3,215.9616,338.2831,155.59286,614.6864,643.73
2,929.5317,632.3632,134.05320,050.3273,251.89
2,703.8618,709.1232,546.05347,592.3081,070.99
2,461.9919,841.8332,470.36376,633.6289,708.29
2,265.0320,819.9231,951.12401,486.9897,682.96
1,93722,28631,295439,522110,711.47
MOVILIDAD
00000
00000
00000
00000
ACTUALIDAD
BASE
DEGRADATIVO
ALTO
9000.3
Ingreso per Capita
VIAJES DIARIOS EN EL AO 2020
EDUCACIN
BASEREQUERIMIENTOSDEGRADATIVOREQUERIMIENTOSALTOREQUERIMIENTOSSUPERIORREQUERIMIENTOS
PRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIORPRIMARIASECUNDARIASUPERIOR
0.680.310.070.680.310.070.680.310.070.680.310.07
0.690.320.070.680.320.070.690.320.070.690.320.07
0.690.320.070.690.320.070.690.330.070.690.330.07
0.690.330.080.690.330.070.70.340.080.70.340.08
0.70.340.080.70.330.080.720.360.090.720.360.09
0.70.340.080.70.340.080.730.380.090.730.390.1
0.710.350.080.70.340.080.740.390.10.750.410.11
0.710.360.080.710.350.080.740.40.10.760.430.12
0.720.360.090.710.350.080.750.420.110.780.450.14
0.720.370.090.710.350.080.760.430.120.80.480.15
0.730.370.090.710.360.080.770.440.130.810.50.18
0.730.380.090.720.360.090.780.450.140.830.520.2
0.730.390.10.720.370.090.790.460.140.840.540.22
0.740.390.10.720.370.090.790.470.150.850.560.24
0.740.40.10.720.370.090.80.480.160.860.580.26
0.740.40.10.730.370.090.810.50.170.880.60.29
TRANSPORTE
ESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO BASEESCENARIO ALTO CON TASA DE VIAJES EXGENADATOS EXGENOS DE TASASA DE VIAJE INGRESADOS
TRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULARTRANSPORTE PBLICOTAXIMOTOCICLETAPARTICULAR
1,330,713204,001140,253502,9841,330,713204,001140,253502,9841,385,183.67197,501.84137,382.12516,428.2800.5800.0070
1,329,671214,299144,024529,4031,329,629214,318144,030529,4541,386,435.66206,620.47141,144.87540,788.091,0000.4890.0140.0140.01
1,327,374226,093148,060557,3941,331,704223,692147,494552,2031,387,534.81216,133.75144,812.50567,593.162,0000.40.0490.0210.074
1,305,509248,316154,517609,4301,332,101234,133151,026575,5231,371,478.29233,863.42150,685.30617,411.073,0000.3280.070.0250.175
1,270,332279,627162,637684,7551,330,683244,865154,626599,3921,344,523.92258,003.36158,475.85683,332.174,0000.2850.0850.0290.247
1,232,620309,866167,924777,3131,328,323255,901158,338628,7041,315,774.23283,080.37164,738.60765,438.475,0000.2650.0960.0310.302
1,213,166329,482170,750840,7181,325,047268,655162,171659,1941,301,862.47300,232.40168,576.71822,826.836,0000.2450.10.0310.347
1,190,078350,508173,098916,7201,320,843281,692166,134690,3331,285,803.25318,414.82172,392.21887,592.747,0000.240.10.0310.385
1,156,901376,015181,3321,012,9761,315,761295,008170,239722,1071,263,330.22340,758.59176,691.46967,835.538,0000.240.10.0310.425
1,133,466396,385188,5161,097,4901,312,468306,840173,286756,1381,249,090.60358,659.53180,552.201,035,446.639,0000.240.10.0310.43
1,097,034422,482197,4741,211,2301,309,641318,232175,831791,8571,225,325.04381,787.28185,229.521,127,743.4810,0000.2350.10.0290.43
1,064,272446,528205,5891,323,8541,306,441329,860178,314828,3091,204,902.61402,611.49188,179.591,216,823.3211,0000.2350.10.0250.43
1,035,439468,585212,8431,426,2751,302,840341,731180,722865,5111,188,746.58421,199.04193,865.981,301,172.4912,0000.230.10.0210.435
1,003,862491,646220,0941,533,7081,298,722353,847183,034903,4901,171,855.96440,069.32200,116.891,393,756.6813,0000.230.10.0170.435
980,176511,098226,0611,622,7971,294,032366,211185,234945,6391,159,605.04456,542.34205,581.921,470,195.5714,0000.230.10.0120.435
929,424541,941234,2011,769,5881,288,681378,826187,299990,197487,2131,134,072.30479,556.65212,817.901,593,230.1715,0000.230.10.0080.435
16,0000.230.10.0020.435
TRANSPORTE
1134072.3
479556.65
212817.9
1593230.17
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(En 15 aos)
SALUD
0
0
0
0
DEMANDA DE VIAJES(Actualmente)
MEDIO AMBIENTE
% AFILIADOS
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
EPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOSEPSARSSISBENOTRONO AFILIADOS
20040.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.390.010.320.180.09
20050.400.010.310.180.090.390.010.320.180.090.400.010.310.180.090.400.010.310.180.09
20060.400.010.310.180.090.400.010.310.180.090.410.010.310.180.090.410.010.310.180.09
20070.410.010.300.180.090.410.010.300.180.090.420.010.290.190.090.430.010.290.190.09
20080.420.010.290.190.090.410.010.300.180.090.440.010.270.190.090.450.010.260.190.09
20090.420.010.290.190.090.420.010.290.180.090.460.010.250.190.090.470.010.240.190.09
20100.430.010.280.190.090.420.010.290.190.090.480.010.240.190.090.490.010.220.200.08
20110.440.010.270.190.090.430.010.280.190.090.490.010.220.200.080.520.000.200.200.08
20120.450.010.260.190.090.430.010.280.190.090.500.010.210.200.080.550.000.170.200.08
20130.450.010.260.190.090.440.010.270.190.090.520.000.200.200.080.570.000.150.210.08
20140.460.010.250.190.090.440.010.270.190.090.530.000.180.200.080.600.000.120.210.07
20150.470.010.250.190.090.450.010.270.190.090.550.000.170.200.080.630.000.100.220.07
20160.470.010.240.190.090.450.010.260.190.090.560.000.160.210.080.650.000.080.220.07
20170.480.010.240.190.090.450.010.260.190.090.570.000.150.210.080.670.000.070.220.06
20180.480.010.230.190.080.460.010.260.190.090.580.000.140.210.070.680.000.060.230.06
20190.490.010.220.200.080.460.010.250.190.090.600.000.120.210.070.710.000.040.230.06
0.390.490.490.600.710.46
0.010.010.010.000.000.01
0.320.220.220.120.040.25
0.180.200.200.210.230.19
0.090.080.080.070.060.09
MEDIO AMBIENTE
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
ACTUALIDAD
BASE
DEGRADATIVO
ALTO
9000.3
Ingreso per Capita
AFILIACIONES SALUD AO 2020
GINI IDH
BASERESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOMDEGRADATIVORESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOMALTORESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOM9000.3RESIDUOS RESRESID ECONOM68,47266,84478,074100,394
55,56318,26755,562.8618,267.2455,562.8618,267.2455,562.8618,267.2422,51121,97625,66833,006
56,381.8518,536.5056,333.9918,520.7756,381.4118,536.3556,381.4118,536.3525,424,57324,559,23729,655,26836,890,640
57,189.4818,802.0257,120.2918,779.2757,235.6218,817.1957,238.3318,818.082,579,4262,491,6343,008,6483,742,705
57,980.6919,062.1557,881.9319,029.6858,264.4819,155.4558,316.3119,172.4924,919,89024,054,55429,150,58636,385,957
58,752.8719,316.0158,615.9419,270.9959,397.0919,527.8159,486.1119,557.082,528,2242,440,4322,957,4453,691,503
59,530.4819,571.6659,346.4919,511.1860,799.5419,988.8961,131.8420,098.1424,27624,18424,72425,496
60,315.2919,829.6960,075.0819,750.7161,996.4620,382.4062,971.4520,702.94
61,108.1120,090.3460,802.2019,989.7663,294.2320,809.0664,988.9921,366.24
61,911.3920,354.4361,530.0320,229.0564,844.9021,318.8767,997.3022,355.28
62,764.6520,634.9562,260.3120,469.1466,247.2821,779.9370,987.4523,338.34
63,652.1220,926.7362,993.8520,710.3168,006.0422,358.1574,906.4524,626.78
64,565.4021,226.9863,735.0020,953.9769,787.2622,943.7679,216.3426,043.73
65,505.1121,535.9364,488.9321,201.8471,572.4923,530.6883,353.5527,403.91
66,469.5521,853.0065,270.3921,458.7673,519.3224,170.7388,114.5128,969.15
67,458.7522,178.2266,056.1321,717.0975,300.0424,756.1892,600.6830,444.06
68,471.8322,511.2966,843.9921,976.1178,074.2525,668.25100,393.6133,006.12
CONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICOCONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDCONSUMO DE AGUA ECONOMICO
14,088,1271,429,29814,088,127.401,429,297.7914,088,127.401,429,297.7914,088,127.401,429,297.79
14,585,491.801,479,757.4314,561,864.191,477,360.3114,585,274.581,479,735.3914,585,274.581,479,735.39
15,090,456.081,530,988.1115,055,747.811,527,466.8115,113,589.211,533,335.0615,114,948.261,533,472.94
15,624,403.161,585,159.2115,573,983.251,580,043.9115,769,124.241,599,841.7515,795,542.541,602,522.00
16,189,869.541,642,528.0716,118,626.921,635,300.2216,524,842.041,676,512.3916,571,171.481,681,212.71
16,787,880.601,703,198.7316,690,221.851,693,290.8517,394,979.981,764,791.4317,534,331.631,778,929.22
17,421,107.211,767,442.1417,290,885.481,754,230.6218,196,721.381,846,131.3518,596,889.361,886,730.02
18,092,639.911,835,571.8617,923,088.211,818,370.1519,075,082.791,935,244.6819,756,631.282,004,390.55
18,805,859.981,907,930.9418,589,521.631,885,982.5320,095,008.672,038,720.3121,315,920.772,162,586.81
19,567,381.791,985,190.4219,293,302.951,957,384.0121,094,789.122,140,152.1022,879,147.072,321,182.47
20,380,585.542,067,693.2520,038,092.672,032,945.9522,286,000.262,261,005.3124,794,261.792,515,478.64
21,249,473.332,155,845.4420,827,829.692,113,067.9823,532,886.032,387,506.9426,844,184.612,723,451.64
22,180,250.252,250,276.5521,667,937.722,198,300.3624,835,962.522,519,709.3528,880,735.122,930,067.97
23,180,390.872,351,744.8822,565,903.732,289,402.6626,271,232.232,665,323.3031,186,353.593,163,982.34
24,258,448.402,461,118.2023,526,928.852,386,902.5627,721,431.692,812,451.9333,508,241.753,399,547.33
25,424,572.952,579,426.2724,559,236.942,491,634.4129,655,268.393,008,647.5236,890,640.083,742,705.39
VERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICOVERTIMIENTO RESIDVERTIMIENTO ECONOMICO
13,782,0161,398,24213,782,016.391,398,241.5813,782,016.391,398,241.5813,782,016.391,398,241.58
14,270,456.321,447,795.8014,246,828.711,445,398.6814,270,239.101,447,773.7614,270,239.101,447,773.76
14,766,079.321,498,078.7714,731,371.051,494,557.4714,789,212.451,500,425.7214,790,571.501,500,563.60
15,290,238.811,551,256.8815,239,818.901,546,141.5715,434,959.891,565,939.4215,461,378.191,568,619.66
15,845,438.221,607,584.1215,774,195.601,600,356.2616,180,410.721,641,568.4416,226,740.161,646,268.75
16,432,665.661,667,160.7316,335,006.901,657,252.8517,039,765.041,728,753.4317,179,116.681,742,891.22
17,054,549.801,730,253.4016,924,328.071,717,041.8817,830,163.961,808,942.6118,230,331.951,849,541.28
17,714,133.191,797,170.8217,544,581.491,779,969.1118,696,576.061,896,843.6419,378,124.561,965,989.50
18,414,742.251,868,250.4518,198,403.901,846,302.0519,703,890.941,999,039.8320,924,803.042,122,906.32
19,162,928.401,944,156.9818,888,849.561,916,350.5720,690,335.732,099,118.6622,474,693.682,280,149.03
19,961,999.262,025,225.9719,619,506.381,990,478.6721,867,413.972,218,538.0324,375,675.502,473,011.36
20,815,872.912,111,854.9220,394,229.272,069,077.4623,099,285.612,343,516.4226,410,584.202,679,461.12
21,730,656.892,204,663.4721,218,344.362,152,687.2824,386,369.172,474,096.2828,431,141.762,884,454.90
22,713,712.022,304,398.4122,099,224.872,242,056.1925,804,553.372,617,976.8330,719,674.733,116,635.87
23,773,458.442,411,913.9923,041,938.882,337,698.3627,236,441.732,763,247.7233,023,251.793,350,343.13
24,919,890.212,528,224.1624,054,554.192,440,432.3029,150,585.652,957,445.4036,385,957.343,691,503.27
CONTAMINACION TOTAL KG/HORACONTAMINACION TOTAL KG/HORA
11,64911,649.3011,649.3011,649.30
12,188.3512,185.0812,188.3212,188.32
12,759.2712,754.2512,762.4112,762.59
13,364.8113,357.6513,384.4813,388.04
14,007.3413,997.3814,053.2514,059.70
14,689.1114,675.6814,770.6014,788.69
15,412.5315,394.9515,515.9615,566.93
16,180.1516,157.6916,307.9016,394.81
16,994.6916,966.5917,157.7217,309.77
17,859.0317,824.5118,048.9518,268.66
18,776.2218,734.4619,006.8619,309.47
19,749.5119,699.6520,019.9920,411.46
20,782.3320,723.5021,089.5621,558.24
21,878.3421,809.6122,226.5022,781.65
23,041.4222,961.8223,421.8724,059.54
24,275.6824,184.2324,724.3025,496.31
ORDENAMIENTO TERRITORIAL MED
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
GINIIDHGINIIDHGINIIDHGINIIDH
0.578.270.578.270.578.270.578.27
0.4978.460.578.410.4978.460.4978.46
0.4978.620.4978.540.4978.670.4978.67
0.4878.780.4978.680.4879.090.4779.15
0.4878.960.4878.810.4679.650.4679.74
0.4779.140.4878.950.4580.10.4580.26
0.4779.330.4879.080.4580.380.4480.82
0.4679.520.4779.210.4580.680.4481.41
0.4679.720.4779.330.4481.080.4382.25
0.4579.870.4679.450.4481.390.4282.85
0.4579.990.4679.570.4381.830.4183.62
0.4580.120.4679.690.4382.190.484.23
0.4580.250.4579.790.4282.470.484.75
0.4580.390.4579.860.4282.770.3985.26
0.4580.530.4579.920.4283.020.3885.68
0.4580.670.4579.980.4183.480.3786.34
0.450.450.410.37
80.6779.9883.4886.34
ORDENAMIENTO TERRITORIAL VA
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
OCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADO
INDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIAL
20043,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041.951.240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.003,311,940.009,935,820.008,831,840.005,519,900.0041,951,240.00
20053,801,050.2910,311,447.568,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,573.374,021,219.2610,278,632.398,880,555.535,532,078.8842.477.005.024,070,646.3510,282,088.148,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,558.954,003,777.6910,283,554.968,880,555.535,532,078.8842,478,558.95
20064,133,476.2410,648,299.248,935,735.835,545,873.9643,038,745.134,582,773.8410,394,880.238,935,735.835,545,873.9643.032.964.144,733,047.5510,498,590.438,935,735.835,545,873.9643,040,242.264,550,472.6010,558,115.668,935,735.835,545,873.9643,040,333.39
20074,418,244.7910,970,167.378,993,123.345,560,220.8443,632,455.075,054,988.0410,430,629.068,993,123.345,560,220.8443.620.464.265,330,775.5511,204,115.198,993,123.345,560,220.8443,645,646.755,349,134.9511,274,558.438,993,123.345,560,220.8443,647,636.65
20084,705,032.0111,300,221.269,052,806.365,575,141.5944,262,176.705,466,918.9110,451,955.579,052,806.365,575,141.5944.241.217.955,783,075.4211,862,490.369,052,806.365,575,141.5944,310,077.565,729,464.4411,918,174.309,052,806.365,575,141.5944,317,382.44
20094,993,825.2311,638,699.549,114,876.695,590,659.1744,930,377.825,815,935.9610,470,866.399,114,876.695,590,659.1744.896.844.396,211,647.8912,624,752.049,114,876.695,590,659.1745,047,370.756,038,848.0612,608,009.469,114,876.695,590,659.1745,068,110.36
20105,284,610.6711,985,848.359,179,429.845,606,797.4645,639,598.126,089,493.5510,673,036.419,179,429.845,606,797.4645.588.940.876,627,026.6513,105,047.189,179,429.845,606,797.4645,860,632.746,845,977.5313,119,871.419,179,429.845,606,797.4645,920,579.29
20115,577,373.4512,341,921.629,246,565.115,623,581.2846,392,539.196,285,607.2510,979,810.429,246,565.115,623,581.2846.319.163.646,928,806.4414,164,839.149,246,565.115,623,581.2846,746,992.547,660,965.0414,162,152.909,246,565.115,623,581.2846,887,824.25
20125,872,097.5412,707,181.369,316,385.805,641,036.4547,192,081.126,469,994.5911,311,582.749,316,385.805,641,036.4547.089.235.357,191,535.7515,153,481.809,316,385.805,641,036.4547,719,762.148,417,231.4815,467,550.599,316,385.805,641,036.4548,003,455.90
20136,168,765.6713,081,897.859,388,999.315,659,189.8348,041,397.736,646,405.6111,674,683.849,388,999.315,659,189.8347.900.917.407,431,186.5915,642,098.679,388,999.315,659,189.8348,786,073.898,992,525.8716,120,808.839,388,999.315,659,189.8349,299,006.07
20146,467,359.3513,466,350.009,464,517.365,678,069.3448,944,189.496,814,179.5412,072,181.909,464,517.365,678,069.3448.756.043.567,668,642.6815,944,532.069,464,517.365,678,069.3449,954,249.899,540,203.7116,754,424.969,464,517.365,678,069.3450,797,004.18
20156,767,858.8313,860,825.589,543,056.135,697,704.0349,904,007.376,977,564.7712,506,873.669,543,056.135,697,704.0349.656.485.397,874,160.3516,207,998.259,543,056.135,697,704.0351,239,938.2110,182,859.1317,138,299.049,543,056.135,697,704.0352,533,273.96
20167,070,243.0014,265,621.569,624,736.465,718,124.1150,924,571.207,129,188.1612,526,085.379,624,736.465,718,124.1150.604.153.928,065,200.2616,252,189.739,624,736.465,718,124.1152,646,568.2310,628,434.6617,407,994.329,624,736.465,718,124.1154,513,438.88
20177,374,489.4214,681,044.389,709,683.995,739,361.0052,009,893.797,272,379.0612,555,364.219,709,683.995,739,361.0051.601.293.038,229,582.3916,330,763.229,709,683.995,739,361.0054,182,227.8210,740,915.5417,580,706.499,709,683.995,739,361.0056,749,608.72
20187,680,574.2115,107,410.289,798,029.435,761,447.3653,164,288.857,414,960.6812,663,203.269,798,029.435,761,447.3652.650.172.958,415,355.7416,337,765.569,798,029.435,761,447.3655,851,842.8010,791,163.9217,641,330.269,798,029.435,761,447.3659,258,377.76
20197,988,472.0715,545,045.649,889,908.695,784,417.1754,392,398.257,556,500.4112,779,608.699,889,908.695,784,417.1753.753.056.448,622,554.5216,520,426.969,889,908.695,784,417.1757,682,399.5210,888,877.5617,814,947.069,889,908.695,784,417.1762,106,934.46
REQUERIMIENTOS4,676,532.075,609,225.644,244,560.412,843,788.695,310,614.526,584,606.967,576,937.567,879,127.06
3,311,9407,988,4727,556,5008,622,55510,888,878
9,935,82015,545,04612,779,60916,520,42717,814,947
8,831,8409,889,9099,889,9099,889,9099,889,909
5,519,9005,784,4175,784,4175,784,4175,784,417
41,951,24054,392,39853,753,05657,682,40062,106,934
Administrador:Asumiendo que la industria ocupa actualmente el 3% del territorio urbano (110 km2). FUENTE: Municipio
ECONMICO
BASEDEGRADATIVOALTO9000.3
OCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADOOCUPADO
INDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIALINDUSTRIACOMESPACIOEQUIPAMIENTOSRESIDENCIAL
200410,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.0010,894,530.0018,114,750.0015,924,830.009,670,950.0062,350,480.00
200511,523,475.6718,568,633.3116,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,505.8111,479,940.2218,347,519.6716,005,947.729,691,229.4363,225,895.1011,870,148.5518,533,157.3416,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,481.8011,784,162.3118,534,929.7516,005,947.729,691,229.4363,228,481.80
200611,950,941.3418,975,662.4216,097,711.679,714,170.4264,159,959.3412,095,383.7818,455,933.9716,097,711.679,714,170.4264,150,344.1012,721,928.5618,794,764.2716,097,711.679,714,170.4264,162,448.1212,487,155.9018,866,690.5916,097,711.679,714,170.4264,162,599.62
200712,317,124.5019,364,586.4016,193,025.269,737,998.8165,145,935.6912,611,350.3918,507,170.1816,193,025.269,737,998.8165,126,008.1113,490,545.4519,647,273.3516,193,025.269,737,998.8165,167,842.7413,514,153.7719,732,392.2716,193,025.269,737,998.8165,171,146.92
200812,685,903.4519,763,401.5216,292,033.339,762,750.8366,190,477.8513,026,066.2618,531,280.0716,292,033.339,762,750.8366,155,675.2614,072,156.7020,442,810.0216,292,033.339,762,750.8366,269,954.0914,003,218.4720,510,094.7816,292,033.339,762,750.8366,282,073.99
200913,057,261.9020,172,396.1116,394,886.609,788,464.1567,297,614.7913,378,443.9218,705,959.1816,394,886.609,788,464.1567,241,977.8014,623,256.9421,363,876.2216,394,886.609,788,464.1567,491,563.5414,401,054.0921,343,645.6016,394,886.609,788,464.1567,525,941.38
201013,431,182.1520,591,867.5816,501,741.879,815,177.9768,471,490.9713,687,181.6118,995,672.4616,501,741.879,815,177.9768,387,511.8115,157,391.4221,944,232.8416,501,741.879,815,177.9768,837,643.0415,438,939.8021,962,145.4616,501,741.879,815,177.9768,936,909.61
201113,807,645.0721,022,122.7916,612,762.279,842,933.0769,716,515.9913,964,005.5019,357,508.5516,612,762.279,842,933.0769,594,971.6215,545,449.2923,224,814.8016,612,762.279,842,933.0770,303,279.3016,486,930.1423,221,568.9316,612,762.279,842,933.0770,536,288.46
201214,186,630.0121,463,478.3116,728,117.589,871,771.9071,037,392.0814,210,908.3319,682,043.1116,728,117.589,871,771.9070,867,162.3815,883,292.2224,419,424.6716,728,117.589,871,771.9071,910,330.0417,459,411.2224,798,924.4716,728,117.589,871,771.9072,379,344.09
201314,568,114.8021,916,260.7316,847,984.449,901,738.6172,439,304.4214,429,591.3820,111,527.3116,847,984.449,901,738.6172,206,954.5516,191,458.6225,009,836.7316,847,984.449,901,738.6173,670,419.5218,199,180.8125,588,278.1716,847,984.449,901,738.6174,517,814.34
201414,952,075.6622,380,807.0816,972,546.679,932,879.1773,928,305.0014,621,681.9420,680,028.4916,972,546.679,932,879.1773,617,339.6916,496,802.8025,375,277.0716,972,546.679,932,879.1775,597,121.4218,903,438.3326,353,897.6616,972,546.679,932,879.1776,988,491.58
201515,338,487.1622,857,465.0817,101,995.579,965,241.3975,510,196.9514,788,736.0821,441,970.3317,101,995.579,965,241.3975,101,373.8516,761,077.4525,693,632.0617,101,995.579,965,241.3977,716,082.0019,729,827.2926,817,745.5117,101,995.579,965,241.3979,850,053.40
201615,727,322.2023,346,593.5617,236,530.229,998,875.0577,191,061.0014,932,241.3022,471,148.5417,236,530.229,998,875.0576,662,180.5717,006,735.1825,747,030.0917,236,530.229,998,875.0580,032,792.1620,302,791.7227,143,627.3117,236,530.229,998,875.0583,111,365.68
201716,118,551.8823,848,562.7917,376,357.8110,033,831.9578,977,460.4215,053,619.1323,398,016.1017,376,357.8110,033,831.9578,303,434.2417,218,113.7425,841,973.0617,376,357.8110,033,831.9582,560,425.6120,447,430.6027,352,321.1717,376,357.8110,033,831.9586,792,004.40
201816,512,145.5324,363,754.9217,521,693.9910,070,166.0080,876,454.2815,154,227.6324,441,819.6717,521,693.9910,070,166.0080,028,855.3317,456,999.2225,850,434.2217,521,693.9910,070,166.0085,306,960.4420,512,044.8627,425,574.9017,521,693.9910,070,166.0090,918,951.35
201916,908,070.6024,892,564.3217,672,763.2110,107,933.3082,895,642.6615,235,363.8124,826,000.4917,672,763.2110,107,933.3081,842,155.2317,723,435.6026,071,150.0817,672,763.2110,107,933.3088,316,653.0920,637,694.5827,635,361.8717,672,763.2110,107,933.3095,602,371.02
REQUERIMIENTOS6,013,540.606,777,814.321,747,933.21436,983.3020,545,162.664,340,833.816,711,250.491,747,933.21436,983.3019,491,675.236,828,905.607,956,400.081,747,933.21436,983.3025,966,173.099,743,164.589,520,611.871,747,933.21436,983.3033,251,891.02
16,908,07115,235,36417,723,43620,637,695
24,892,56424,826,00026,071,15027,635,362
17,672,76317,672,76317,672,76317,672,763
10,107,93310,107,93310,107,93310,107,933
82,895,64381,842,15588,316,65395,602,371
DEMANDAS
BASE
EXPORTACIONES ANUALESINGRESO PER CAPITACREC PIBDESEMPLEOGINIIDH
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,485.812,490.514.20.130.4978.46
20061,559.972,551.203.580.130.4978.62
20071,637.842,615.213.590.130.4878.78
20081,719.602,682.813.60.120.4878.96
20091,805.442,752.863.610.120.4779.140.470.480.450.44
20101,895.572,825.383.620.120.4779.3379.3379.0880.3880.82
20111,990.192,900.423.630.110.4679.5212%18%7%7%
20122,089.552,977.963.630.110.4679.72
20132,193.873,057.983.640.110.4579.87
20142,303.393,140.523.650.100.4579.99
20152,418.393,225.423.660.100.4580.12
20162,539.133,312.783.670.100.4580.25
20172,665.903,402.843.680.090.4580.39
20182,799.013,495.763.680.090.4580.53
20192,938.763,591.793.690.080.4580.67
ALTO
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,484.162,490.324.190.130.4978.46
20061,619.852,570.604.360.120.4978.67
20071,792.482,733.337.240.100.4879.09
20081,903.762,949.058.630.090.4679.65
20092,070.373,215.619.750.080.4580.1
20102,271.843,395.156.480.070.4580.38
20112,443.583,596.686.770.050.4580.68
20122,667.193,859.928.090.030.4481.08
20132,933.484,068.556.360.030.4481.39
20143,259.794,359.917.930.030.4381.83
20153,610.504,637.207.170.030.4382.19
20163,997.604,897.196.510.040.4282.47
20174,387.595,180.466.640.050.4282.77
20184,859.385,413.345.380.060.4283.02
20195,418.555,845.278.670.060.4183.48
DEGRADATIVO
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,414.152,470.163.380.130.578.41
20061,493.972,522.133.260.140.4978.54
20071,573.792,574.153.150.150.4978.68
20081,653.602,626.423.060.160.4878.81
20091,733.422,677.792.970.170.4878.95
20101,813.242,728.222.880.180.4879.08
20111,893.052,777.712.80.190.4779.21
20121,972.872,826.182.720.190.4779.33
20132,052.692,873.572.650.200.4679.45
20142,132.502,919.862.580.210.4679.57
20152,212.322,964.832.520.210.4679.69
20162,292.143,008.542.460.210.4579.79
20172,371.953,051.162.40.210.4579.86
20182,451.773,092.762.340.220.4579.92
20192,531.593,133.482.290.220.4579.98
9000.3
20041,334.332,415.9400.140.578.27
20051,484.162,490.324.190.130.4978.46
20061,627.812,571.744.40.130.4978.67
20071,949.652,754.937.990.10.4779.15
20082,155.242,986.029.090.10.4679.74
20092,460.783,320.4111.760.090.4580.26
20102,790.303,687.2511.620.070.4480.82
20113,295.514,079.2711.220.040.4481.41
20123,825.014,698.1115.3400.4382.25
20134,439.715,254.2312.43-0.010.4282.85
20145,150.285,973.0414-0.010.4183.62
20155,900.806,694.6312.51-0.020.484.23
20166,739.517,322.9810.1-0.010.484.75
20177,455.768,024.4910.280.010.3985.26
20188,185.628,640.138.450.030.3885.68
20199,114.719,730.7113.020.040.3786.34
ESCENARIO DEGRADATIVOESCENARIO BASEESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO 9000.3ESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO ALTOESCENARIO ALTO
AO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHAO1. DESEMPLEO2. EXPORTACIONES ANUALES US3. PIB PER CAPITA US4. GINI5. IDHMESES1. SUELO INDUSTRIAL DESTINADO POR EL POT INDUSTRIADEMANDA INDUSTRIA MEDELLNPOT RESIDENCIALDEMANDA RESIDENCIAL MEDELLNPOT COMERCIODEMANDA COMERCIO MEDELLNEPSARSSISBENAFILIADAS A OTROSIN AFILIACINPERSONAS CON PRIMARIADEMANDA PRIMARIAPERSONAS CON SECUNDARIADEMANDA SECUNDARIAPERSONAS CON SUPERIORDEMANDA SUPERIORRS RESIDENCIALESRS ACT. ECONMICACONTAMINACIN TOTAL KG/HORACONSUMO DE AGUA RESIDENCIALCONSUMO DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICADESECHOS DE AGUA RESIDENCIALDESECHOS DE AGUA ACT. ECONMICADEMANDA DE VIAJES TRANSPORTE PBLICODEMANDA DE VIAJES TAXIDEMANDA DE VIAJES MOTOCICLETADEMANDA DE VIAJES PARTICULAR
20040.141,334.332,415.940.5078.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.5078.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.578.2720040.141,334.332,415.940.578.2703,254,049.623,254,049.6241,217,961.8733,493,454.509,762,148.869,762,148.8633%2%51%17%9%2,027,265.901,519,422.121,039,443.68615,012.46163,713.00162,119.4456,005.4218,879.5311,649.3013,435,004.771,363,035.8413,144,162.271,333,528.6939,934,468.806,133,760.404,211,568.6015,118,521.60
20050.131,414.152,470.160.5078.4120050.131,485.812,490.510.4978.4620050.131,484.162,490.320.4978.4620050.131,484.162,490.320.4978.46123,254,049.623,806,772.6241,217,961.8734,715,573.189,762,148.8610,092,210.4034%2%49%17%9%2,051,388.851,546,071.061,064,406.96636,506.07174,869.30169,981.6956,973.3619,498.4311,667.7913,869,397.711,407,106.7713,571,307.041,376,864.2640,227,471.496,213,729.354,216,003.8115,486,615.13
20060.141,493.972,522.130.4978.5420060.131,559.9