1. Jos Luis Cordeiro www.cordeiro.org The Millennium Project Director, Nodo Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro Venezuela Fundador, Caracas, Venezuela Singularity University Profesor, NASA Ames, California, USA

2. www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

3. Venezuela vs. Benesuela ? Escenarios Ingreso por habitante en moneda constate (Indice 1977 = 100) Benesuela Venezuela www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

4. Venezuela: entre Suiza y Hait Escenarios? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Ingreso por habitante (US$ d el 2000 ) 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 0 Hait? Suiza? Venezuela Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

5. World Future Society m

6. World Future Society m

7.

8. 2007 International Winners Corea 1 China 1 India 2 Mxico 7 Estados Unidos 1 Venezuela 1

9. Mientras ms rpido vamos, ms lejos necesitamos ver www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

10. Podemos estudiar el futuro? Podemos estudiar el clima ? Podemos estudiar las estrellas ? Podemos estudiar la Tierra ? Podemos estudiar el pasado ? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

11. Del Mediterr neo al Pacfico 500 years 5000 years 50 years ??? www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

12.

13.

14.

15.

16.

17. A new face for the world

18. A new behind for the world

19. China: (Chung Kuo)

20.

21. Singularity University

22.

23. Ray Kurzweil (MIT ): The Singularity is Near

• www.singularity.com

• Bill Gates

• Ley de Moore

24.

25.

26.

27.

28.

29.

30.

31.

32.

33.

34. Sequencing the genome: cost and time Year Cost (US$) Time 2003 1,000,000.000 13 years 2007 100,000,000 4 years 2008 1,000,000 2 months 2009 10,000 4 weeks 2015 100 5 days

35. Android Google Phone (gPhone)

36.

37.

38.

39.

40.

41.

42. Agricultural revolution Natural resources Industrial revolution Financial resources Knowledge revolution Human resouces The 3 waves of Alvin Toffler

43. Japn: de sacapuntas malos a computadoras buenas en 30 aos

44. Development is faster and faster

45.

46. Energy waves : decarbonization

47. Towards a post-petroleum world British Petroleum Beyond Petroleum

48. Jeque Yamani, 2000 Arabia Saudita

• La Edad de Piedra se acab y no por falta de piedras, y la Edad del Petrleo se acabar pronto y no por falta de petrleo.

www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

49. Tres polticas petroleras:

• Del pasado (basada en precios)

• Del presente (basada en volmenes)

• Del futuro (basada en valor agregado)

www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

50. From manufacturing to mindfacturing

51. We need to add value

52.

• Finlandia

• (siglo XIX)

• Pas pobre

• Atrasado

• Colonia

• Idioma brbaro

53. Bioenergy and eternal energy

• Photosynthesis:

• • CO 2 + 2 H 2 O + light

• • -> (CH 2 O) + O 2 + H 2 O

• From fossil hydrocarbons to live carbohydrates

• Craig Venter and his artificial bacteria

54. NASA : Space Solar Power Strategy Complete Initial R&D for 1 MW to Full-Scale SSP 2003-2005 2006-2010 2011-2015 2016-2020 2002 Studies & Proof-of-Concept Technology Research (TRL 2-4) Technology Research, Development and Test (TRL 4-5) Dual-Purpose Applications R&D (TRL 4-6) Technology Demos (TRL 6-7) LEGEND R&D Decision Point Major R&D Pgm Milestone Strategic R&T Road Map Objective MSC 3 10 MW-Class Flight Demo (TRL 7) Complete Initial SSP Technology Research for 1-10 MW Class to Full-Scale Systems Complete Initial R&D for 1 MW to Full-Scale SSP Technology Testbeds MSC 1 100 kW Class SSP flight demo 50 M Class flight expt. (incl SPG, AR&D, dist. control) Component-Level Flight Experiments Ground Test of SPG/WPT/Other Breadboards Large structures for large apertures & solar sails Component-Level Proof-of-Concept experiments High Efficiency Arrays for S/C SSP Concept definition complete Ground Test very large deployable structures 1 MW Class SSP advanced technology subsystem flight demos (SPG/SEPS/WPT) High Power SEPS For Science Probes Lunar Power, Large SEPS High-Power GEO CommSats MSC 2 10-100 kW SSP planetary surface demo SSP Model System Concept(s) MSC 4+ (2020+) FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 10 kW 100 kW 1 MW

55.

56. JAXA : Space Solar Power Strategy

57. Qu es el futuro?

• El futuro ya no es

• lo que era antes!

• Lo que hoy se vive no es el acabose, sino apenas el continuose de lo que empezose ya mucho ha.

• Mafalda

www.FuturoVenezuela.net Sociedad Mundial del Futuro VENEZUELA

58. Attitudes towards the future

• Passive ( ostrich ) Suffer the future

• Reactive ( fire fighter ) Respond

• Preactive ( insurer ) Prepare

• Proactive ( builder ) Create

59.

60. Sir Arthur C. Clarke with Jose Cordeiro

61. The Three Laws of Sir Arthur C. Clarke

• First Law: When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong.

• Second Law: The only way of discovering the limits of the possible is to venture a little way past them into the impossible.

• Third Law: Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

62. Technologies of the past

• 30 years ago

• • Personal computers

• 20 years ago

• • Cell phones

• 10 years ago

• • Google

• What will happen in 10 years? In 20 years? In 30 years?

• • Immortal (ageless) cells!

63. Physical Immortality: Death of Death 1. Reproductive cells (good) 2. Cancer cells (bad) www.Mprize.org

64. NBIC ( N ano- B io- I nfo- C ogno) National Science Foundation Department of Commerce

65. Neurons Cogno NBIC Bio Info Cells Technological Convergence NBIC Nano Bits Atoms

66. Technological convergence is accelerating and everything is information

67. Ray Kurzweil (MIT ): The Singularity is Near

• www.singularity.com

• Bill Gates

• Ley de Moore

68. www.top500.org

69. Moores Wall? Thermionic Tube Transistor IC1 IC2 IC3 IC4 IC5 ICn 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040

• 3D ICs

• Quantum computing

• Subatomic particles

Log Scale No!

70. 1. Nano ( N BIC)

71. Nanotec h nolog y: www.nano.gov

72.

73. 2. Bio (N B IC)

74. The glo -fish: transgenic fish (Taiwan)

75.

76. Dolly: the clone

77. Singapore: Biopolis 2012

78. Russia: ???

79. Korea: Hwang Woo-suk ( Snuppy )

80.

81. The attack of the clones?

82. Synthetic biology is born

• Variola virus (smallpox)

• • Genes: 197

• • Base pairs: 185,000

• Mycoplasma genitalium (bacteria)

• • Genes: 485

• • Base pairs: 580,000

• Homo sapiens sapiens

• • Genes: ~25,000

• • Base pairs: ~3,000,000,000

83. 3. Info (NB I C)

84. MIT Media Lab: $100 laptop

85.

86.

87.

88.

89. The 3 Laws of Knowledge

• Law of Nodes

• • ( N units )

• Law of Metcalfe

• • ( N x N conexions )

• Law of Reed

• • ( exp.N Knowledge )

90. Global brain?

91.

92. 4. Cogno (NBI C )

93. The triune brain : Paul MacLean, 1973

• Reptilian (primitive): instincts

• Limbic (paleomammalian): emotions

• Neocortex (neomammalian): intelligence

94. Riken Brain Institute www.brain.riken.go.jp

95. Riken Brain Institute www.brain.riken.go.jp

96. Paul Allen: www.BrainAtlas.org

97.

• 1 brain

• 10 11 neurones

• 10 14 synapsis

• 10 17 computations

• (per second)

• And the mind?

• And the spirit?

• And the soul?

What is a brain ?

98. Internal brain implants: Cyberkinetics Inc.

99. External brain implants

100. Robots in Japan and Korea

101. Asimo (Honda) evolution

102.

103.

104.

105.

106.

107.

108.

109.

110. Robots are good in Japan

111.

112. Kevin Warwick: I, Cyborg www.KevinWarwick.org

113. Humans and machines! Humans or machines?

114. Marvin Minsky (MIT): Will robots inherit the earth? Yes, but they will be us !

115. Bart Kosko, USC : Biology is not destiny. It was never more than tendency. Biology was just nature's first quick and dirty way to compute with meat. Chips are destiny!

116. Transhumanism is S&T for humans: transcending human limitations www.TransHumanismo.org Are humans trans-monkeys ?

117.

118. Transhumanism, yes... but carefully Homo sapiens sapiens

119. Superman? Christopher Reeve ( paraplegic )

120. Stephen Hawking

121. Michael J. Fox: Back to the Future

122. Ronald Reagan: Alzheimers

123. Space: the final frontier?

124. SpaceShipOne : Virgin Galactic 2011

125. The brain: the final frontier!

126. Yin-yang (and more yin-yang )

127. Light up the world

128.

129. The world is one

130. Guru Cordeiro meditating in India (Hinduism) and in Japan (Buddhism)

131.

132.

133.

134.

135. Muchas gracias! www.Cordeiro.org