Marc Bogdanowicz: ¿Que vienen los chinos?
Transcript of Marc Bogdanowicz: ¿Que vienen los chinos?
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¿Vienen los Chinos?Debates sobre tendencias de la sociedad de la información y el conocimiento - Sevilla, 9 abril 2013
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¿Vienen los Chinos?
Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenter and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this presentation.
SICDebates sobre tendencias de la sociedad de la información y el
conocimientoSevilla, 9 de Abril 2013
Marc Bogdanowicz Jean-Paul SimonInstitute for Prospective Technological Studies jps public policy consultingJoint Research Centre - European Commission Paris - Sevillewww.jrc.es / is.jrc.es
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Tres fuerzas impulsadoras de cambio en Europa :
Globalización => emergencia de nuevas economías
Industria < Servicios
TIC como Tecnología de Ámbito General (GPT)
4Data source: IMF, World Economic Outlook DatabaseAcknowledgement: Alain Stekke
Globalización => emergencia de otras economías
Regional shares in World’s GDP (1980-2012)
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W orld : G D P pc (R hs )
S ourc e : A uthor's c om puta t ion on M addis on (2001) and IM F (2008)
Regional shares in World’s GDP & per capita GDP (0-2012)
Acknowledgement: Andrea de Panizza
Globalización => (re)emergencia de Asia
Bienvenido,Mister Marshall, 1953
Quand la Chine s'éveillera, le monde tremblera. Napoléon, 1816
Blade Runner, 1982
Les Chinois a Paris, 1974
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China: El pais mas poblado, y pronto, el mayor GDP 2012 (est.) M US Dollars
World 71,620,000k European Union 16,190,000
1 United States 15,650,0002 China 8,250,0003 Japan 5,984,0004 Germany 3,367,0005 France 2,580,000
6 United Kingdom 2,434,000
7 Brazil 2,425,0008 Italy 1,980,0009 Russia 1,954,000
10 India 1,947,00011 Canada 1,770,00012 Australia 1,542,00013 Spain 1,340,000
Source: IMF, CIA factbook
Rank US dolllars/y6 USA 48,328
28 Spain 30,47893 China 8,387
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China / AlemaniaUn Aleman …- spends 16 times more money on health care. Per capita public and private health expenditures combined in Germany are $3,465 USD while China spends $216 USD- consumes 5.2 times more oil. Germany consumes 1.3113 gallons of oil per day per capita while China consumes 0.2526- makes 5.2 times more money. The GDP per capita in Germany is $34,100 while in China it is $6,600- uses 2.6 times more electricity. The per capita consumption of electricity in Germany is 6,651kWh while in China it is 2,585kWh.- has 90.7% more chance of being unemployed. Germany has an unemployment rate of 8.20% while China has 4.30%- has 76.08% less chance of dying in infancy. The number of deaths of infants under one year old in a given year per 1,000 live births in Germany is 3.95 while in China it is 16.51.- experiences 34.94% less of a class divide. The GINI index measures the degree of inequality in the distribution of family income. In Germany is 27.00 while in China it is 41.50.- has 32.54% less babies. The annual number of births per 1,000 people in Germanyis 8.21 while in China it is 12.17.- live 4.9 years longer Source: http://www.ifitweremyhome.com/compare/CN/DE
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Pero también un país con retos inmensos…
Costes energéticos
Acceso a materias primas
Desacuerdos comerciales
Polución y salud publica
Encarecimiento de los sueldos
Y mas….
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Urbanización…Chongqing (28.84 million)Shanghai (23.01 million)Beijing (19.61 million)Tianjin (12.93 million)Chengdu (14.04 million)Guangzhou (12.70 million)Harbin (10.63 million)Shenzhen (10.35 million)Wuhan (9.78 million)Qingdao (8.71 million)Hangzhou (8.70 million)Xi’an (8.46 million)Shenyang (8.10 million)Nanjing (8 million)Changchun (7.67 million)Ningbo (7.60 million)Jinan (6.81 million)Dalian (6.69 million)Xiamen (3.53 million)….
Share of Urban population 1970-2010
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Disparidades (típicas del crecimiento)…
…entre regiones, zonas rurales y urbanas, estilos de vida
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Tres preguntas – Múltiples respuestas…
¿ Como resolverán los Chinos su situación ?
¿ Nos cambiara la vida ?
¿ Cuál es nuestro papel en el proceso ?
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No os perdéis:1. The World innovation landscape: Asia rising? R, Veugelers BURUEGEL, 2013
2. Structural change in China, P.Ehmer, Deutsche Bank Research3. The ICT Landscape in BRICS Countries: China, JP Simon, IPTS
Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenter and may not in any circumstances be regarded as stating an official position of the European Commission. Neither the European Commission nor any person acting on behalf of the Commission is responsible for the use which might be made of this presentation.
SICDebates sobre tendencias de la sociedad de la información y el
conocimientoSevilla, 9 abril 2013
And…grateful acknowledgement to the following references:CIA, CISCO, IMF, IPTS, jps public policy consulting SERI, United Nations, Wikipedia, World Bank, etc.