Plasticos ClarosTrimestre Promedio FE

Trimestre Demanda I 4204.6 0.83224798I 2250 II 2944.8 0.58288632II 1737 III 3517 0.69614616III 2412 IV 9542 1.88871954IV 7269 PROMEDIO 5052.1

I 3514II 2143III 3459IV 7056

I 4120II 2766III 2556IV 8253

I 5491II 4382III 4315IV 12035

I 5648 TOTALII 3696 PROMEDIOIII 4843IV 13097

Con Estacionalidad ascendente

212223

Sin estacionalidad 242526272829303132

pronosticos sin estacionalidad

Plasticos Claros

t Yt t^2 t*Yt1 2703.52114 1 2703.52114 5515822.65 2873.49271 4746329.732 2979.99786 4 5959.99572 4293607.28 3102.81979 3799693.333 3464.78965 9 10394.369 2519554.15 3332.14688 2958238.754 3848.63916 16 15394.5567 1448317.98 3561.47396 2221965.995 4222.29924 25 21111.4962 688569.295 3790.80104 1590875.066 3676.53162 36 22059.1897 1892188.38 4020.12813 1064965.957 4968.78416 49 34781.4891 6941.52876 4249.45521 644238.6618 3735.86435 64 29886.9148 1732476.29 4478.78229 328693.1949 4950.44761 81 44554.0284 10333.2094 4708.10938 118329.55

10 4745.35065 100 47453.5065 94095.1625 4937.43646 13147.727811 3671.64276 121 40388.0704 1905662.18 5166.76354 13147.727812 4369.62705 144 52435.5246 465769.329 5396.09062 118329.5513 6597.79316 169 85771.311 2389167.33 5625.41771 328693.19414 7517.76087 196 105248.652 6079483.51 5854.74479 644238.66115 6198.411 225 92976.1651 1314028.92 6084.07187 1064965.9516 6372.04187 256 101952.67 1742246.53 6313.39896 1590875.0617 6786.43885 289 115369.46 3007931.26 6542.72604 2221965.9918 6340.85901 324 114135.462 1660899.77 6772.05312 2958238.7519 6956.87242 361 132180.576 3628157.97 7001.38021 3799693.3320 6934.32757 400 138686.551 3542780.64 7230.70729 4746329.73

210 101042 2870 1213443.51 43938033.4 101042 34972955.910.5 5052.1 143.5 60672.1755 2196901.67 5052.1 1748647.79

a 2644.16563b 229.327083

7460.03437 6208.59851

20077689.36146 4482.023647918.68854 5512.56468148.01562 15389.31638377.34271 6972.02651

20088606.66979 5016.710128835.99687 6151.145279065.32396 6310.790439294.65104 7735.45452

20099523.97812 5551.39669753.30521 6789.725949982.63229 6949.37111

pronosticos sin estacionalidad

Pronostico con Est.

〖 "(" 𝒀_𝒕−𝒀 ̅�_𝒕)" " 〗^2(𝒀_𝒕 ) ̅ 〖 "(" (𝒀_𝒕 ) ̅ −𝒀 ̅�_𝒕)" " 〗^2

𝑬_𝒕

Plasticos Claros

169.97156563 169.971566 28890.3331122.82193175 122.821932 15085.2269-132.64277463 132.642775 17594.1057-287.16520481 287.165205 82463.8549-431.49820155 431.498202 186190.698343.59651033 343.59651 118058.562-719.32895401 719.328954 517434.144742.91794478 742.917945 551927.073-242.33822988 242.33823 58727.8177192.08580638 192.085806 36896.9571495.1207779 1495.12078 2235386.141026.463576 1026.46358 1053627.47

-972.37544699 972.375447 945514.01-1663.0160752 1663.01608 2765622.47-114.33912908 114.339129 13073.4364-58.642909666 58.6429097 3438.99085-243.71281157 243.712812 59395.9345431.19411866 431.194119 185928.36844.507787936 44.5077879 1980.94319296.37971802 296.379718 87840.93731.0459189E-11 9730.11947 8965077.475.2295945E-13 486.505974 448253.874

𝑬_𝒕 |𝑬_𝒕 | 〖𝑬 _𝒕〗^2

Plastico Clarot Y Ỹ

1 32002 76583 44204 23845 36546 86807 56958 19539 4742

10 1367311 664012 273713 348614 1318615 544816 348517 772818 1659119 823620 3316