January 2014
It´s time to get it fixed: Argentina’s attitudes towards the debt
Sergio Berensztein / Director
Prepared for: Graham Fisher & Co.
Social and economic context
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
3
General country situation
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Dif (+) (-) Positive Regular Negative
%
“How do you evaluate the general country situation?”
33
28
12
38
54
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
4
Evaluación retrospectiva y prospectiva de la situación del país
Retrospective evaluation Prospective evaluation
General country situation
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Dif (+) (-) Better The same Worse Dif (+) (-) Will be better Will remain the same Will be worse
%
%
53
17
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
44
28
50
29
44
17
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
5
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
It combines current, retrospective and prospective optimism
Optimism prevails
Pessimism prevails
Citizens Optimism Index
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
E F M J A O N D E F E A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
6
Main problems
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Crime Crime
Inflation
Economic problems
Inflation
Economic problems
Unemployment
Low wages Unemployment
Corruption
Main personal problem Country's main problem
27%
18%
15%
10%
4%
33%
13%
9%
5%
5%
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
7 7
Country's main problem evolution (by topics) 3 months average
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
“Which is in your opinion Argentina's main problem?”
Crime Economic Social Political
%
33
26
7
11
0
10
20
30
40
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
8 8
Main personal problem evolution (by topics) 3 months average
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
“Which is the problem that most affects you personally?”
Crime Economic Social Political
%
28
46
1
8
0
10
20
30
40
50
M A O N J F M J A O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
9
Problem expectations 2014
“For each of the following problems, I would like you to tell me if you think that they will increase, remain the same, or decrease during 2014 in comparison to 2013.”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
66 64 54 54 52
23 22 28 27 31
6 8 9 8 10 5 5 8 10 6
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Inflation Economic problems
Piquetes Social unrest Unemployment
Increase The same Decrease N/A
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
10
Argentina´s prospective economic situation
“How do you think will the economic situation be a year from now?”
Dif (+) (-) Better Worse
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
% 16
55
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
11
“In Argentina it is likely to have good times and high consumption that finally end up in crisis. In your opinion, how likely is it that in the next 2 or 3 years there will be a new
economic crisis in our country?”
Probability assigned to a potential crisis in the medium term
Very likely Quite likely Not very likely Not at all likely N/A
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
38% 53% 23 23 26 24 22
30 32 29 31 32 33 30 32 34 33 32 33 32 32 36 32 32 23 28 27 25 30 35
15 17 19 17 20
20 25
23 24 26 19 23 23 22 22 22 20 21 25 24
25 20 25 19 22 24
23 21
43 43 43
39 47
36 35
34 34 30 38 35 34 29 34 31 35 35 30
31 31
34 36 40 36 34 35 30
17 15 11 16
9 12 8 11 10 10 9 9 9 13 8 12 9 10 10 7 9 10 10 11 13 12
9 9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2011 2012 2013 14
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
12
Personal economic situation
Current
Retrospective
Prospective
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Dif (+) (-) Positive Regular Negative
Better The same Worse
Will be better Will remain the same Will be worse
%
%
%
42 40 38 39
46
11 12
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
M A O N E F M J A O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 .
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 .
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
13
Indicadores de inflación Inflation indicators
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Perception of inflation (last month) Inflationary expectations (next year)
Prices have substantially increased Prices have moderately increased Prices have remained stable / decreased
Average Median
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E F M A M J J A S O N D E
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 4
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
14
Consumer Confidence Index (ICC-UTDT)
14
Source: UTDT / Poliarquía Consultores December 2013.
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
15
Consumption indicators Home appliances
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
5
10
15
20
25
30
F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 4
%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% Yes Annual Dif. %
Consumption
Axis
Annual Dif. %
Axis
19 20
26 26 25
20
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14
%
Yes
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
16
Consumption indicators Apparel and footwear
Consumption
Axis
Annual Dif. %
Axis
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% Yes Annual Dif. %
64 62 64 64 60
56
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14
%
Yes
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
17
37 33 36 28 32 35 35 36 36 33 35
40 41 36 40 42 43 42 41 35 44 39
23 25 28 26 24 21 22 22 27 20 23
1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
M13 A13 M13 J13 J13 A13 S13 O13 N13 D13 J14
13 13 15 13 13 11 15 16 14 15 14
26 23 18 18 23 21 18 21 23 24 21
60 62 63 65 62 64 64 60 61 59 60
1 2 4 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
M13 A13 M13 J13 J13 A13 S13 O13 N13 D13 J14
Employment situation
Employment situation Concern about job loss
Positive Regular Negative NA Very concerned Quite concerned Not very concerned Not at all concerned NA
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
18 18
Household savings
“Does your salary and your whole family income allow you to fully satisfy your needs?”
Not enough Not enough, I have difficulties It´s just enough It´s enough, I can save
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
%
6 7 8 8 8 7 9 6 8 6 10 11 9
12 10 10 13 8 8 11 13 13 9 9 9 10 12 13 11 12 10 8 11 11 11 9 10 8 10 10 8 11 7 8 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 11 11 9
13 9 11 9 11 11 10 11 11 10 11 10 8 10 11 9 9 10 11
25 25 25 25 29
26 27 30 27
26
29 26 28
30
24 32 29
31 27
27 28 28
26 26 26 24 24 26
26 26
24 27 23 23 22 22 23 27 26 26 25 19 25 21
17 23 20 22 21 21
22 24 25 27
22 24
26 24 22 24 27 23 18 24 24 25
20
25 22 24 23 20 24
52 52 51 53 52
53 50 50 50 56
49 51 50 48
54 45 46 51
53 49 49 47
49 51 53 49 48 51 48
51 49 50 51 51 51 48 47 47 47 50 54 48 51 57
52
48
53 54 54 50
52 49 49 52 49
49 52 52 49 49
50 55 51 49 51
56 48
48 48 52 56 50
16 15 16 13 10 13 14 13 16 11 12 11 12 9 12 12 12 10 12 12 10 12 12 14 14 12 14 13 13 13 15 15 16 15 17 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 20 20 21 18 24
17 16 17 17 12 16 15 13
17 13 15 14 16 14 16 15 14 15 14 15 16 18 18 14 14 14
52
0
20
40
60
80
100
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 4
CFK’s administration
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
20
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s image
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Dif (+) (-) Positive Regular Negative
%
56
20 21
38
12
46
57
36
-40
-30 -20
-10 0
10 20
30 40
50 60
70
J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
21 21
Presidential approval
“Do you approve or disapprove Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s administration as President?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Diff (+) (-) Approves Disapproves
%
27
75
53
27
70
24
44
68
-40 -30 -20 -10
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
22
Approval of the government’s economic management
“Do you approve or disapprove the government’s economic management?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Diff (+) (-) Approves Disapproves
62
35
21 22
67
35
58
70 68
23
-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
M A O N J F M J A O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O O D J F M A M J J A S O N D J
06 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
23 23
Trust in Government Index (ICG-UTDT)
Source: UTDT / Poliarquía Consultores December 2013.
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
24 24
Trust in Government Index: Components
Source: UTDT / Poliarquía Consultores December 2013.
Government General interest Public spending Corruption Capacity
0,0
0,5
1,0
1,5
2,0
2,5
3,0
3,5
4,0
4,5
5,0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
25 25
Trust in Government Index: Capacity
Source: UTDT / Poliarquía Consultores December 2013.
Difference between is solving, needs time and does not know how to solve Is solving Needs time Does not know how to solve
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Perceptions on the President’s health condition
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
27
Perception of the President’s health condition
“In your opinion, is the President fully recovered from the intervention or is she still recovering?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
24 27 27
52 47 54
24 26 20
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14
She is fully recovered She is still recovering N/A
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
28
The performance of the Government during CFK’s absence
“Do you think that the Government’s performance is better, the same, or worse since Cristina Kirchner is less active in the government?”
Ns nc 7%
Worse 39%
The same 46%
Better 8%
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
29
Cristina Kirchner’s style of Government
“Some people say that Cristina Kirchner is changing her style of Government in order to face her last two years as President, while others consider that she will go back to her
style once she is fully recovered from the intervention. What do you think?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
30 27 31
59 58 51
11 16 19
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14
N/A She will go back to her style She is changing her style
Argentina’s public attitudes towards the public debt
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
31
The payment of debts as a general rule
“As a rule, do you believe that the Argentinean debt must be paid in full, must be paid only if no other
priorities or should not be paid?”
It must be paid only i f
no other priorit ies
21%
It should not be paid
4%
N/A1%
It must be paid in ful l
74%
By vote in the 2011 presidential election
By Presidential approval
74 74
22 21
3 4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Approves Disapproves
74 73
21 24
4 3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Voters of CFK Voters of ot her candidates
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
32
The payment of the debt with those who did not accept the debt exchange
“Some people and institutions who held Argentinean bonds didn't accept the reduction proposed by the government during the debt exchange and are now demanding to be paid the totality of what is owed. What do you believe the
Government should do?”
It should not pay it at al l
22%
N/A10%
It should pay the ful l amount claimed
68%
By vote in the 2011 presidential election
By Presidential approval
5966
33 20
8 13
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Voters of CFK Voters of ot her candidates
6472
29 16
7 12
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Approves DisapprovesSource: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
33
Approval of the debt swap re-opening
“In general terms, do you approve or disapprove the re-opening of the debt swap?”
Disapproves the re-
opening17%
N/A13%
Approves the re-opening
70%
By Presidential approval
7566
17
17
917
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Approves Disapproves
By vote in the 2011 presidential election
7965
10
19
10 16
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Voters of CFK Voters of ot her candidates
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
34
85 83
8 166
1
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Voters of CFK Voters of ot her candidates
Position regarding Argentina’s debt with international organizations
“What should Cristina Kirchner do regarding the debt Argentina holds with the international organizations? Should
she pay them if the international courts rule against Argentina, should she negotiate, or should she refuse to pay them?”
She should pay them
12%
N/A1%
She should refuse to pay
them5%
She should negot iate
82%
By vote in the 2011 Presidential election
By Presidential approval
83 81
10 146 4
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Approves DisapprovesSource: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
35
4029
53
57
59
2 5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Approves Disapproves
Debt negotiation impact on CFK’s image
“If Cristina Kirchner decided to negotiate the debts with these international organizations, would the image you have of her
improve, remain the same or worsen?”
It would improve
34%
N/A3%
It would worsen
7%
It would remain the
same56%
By Presidential approval
By vote in the 2011 Presidential election
4127
52
58
411
3 5
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Voters of CFK Voters of ot her candidates
Improve + equal
90%
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
36
Government attitudes towards the debt with international organizations
“For each of the following international organizations, do you think that Cristina Kirchner should pay them if the international courts rule against Argentina or should she refuse to pay them? If
you don't know enough to say, please say so and we'll move on.”
The 'vulture' funds
REPSOL
The houldouts
The Paris Club
The small investor and pensioners of foreign countries which have bounds in default
37
45
48
49
69
48
38
28
26
17
15
17
23
25
14
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
She should pay them She should refuse to pay them N/A
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
37
Main reason why Argentina should pay the debt Spontaneous answer
“In your opinion, which is the main reason why Argentina should pay the debt still in default?”
%Debts must be honoured 27To improve its internat ional posit ion 15To improve its economy 13To encourage FDI and get us credit 11To pursue economic sovereignty 8To stop paying interest 3None, it shouldn't be paid 2It must be paid, but in dif ferent terms 2To avoid default 1Others 1N/A 17Total 100
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
38
Reasons given to pay the debt Accordance
“The following is a list of reasons some people have given for Argentina to pay the debt that is still on default. For each, please tell me if you agree or not.”
27
27
31
46
49
52
36
42
34
40
30
35
32
28
29
11
19
11
5
3
6
3
3
2
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Paying off the debt would help to release off the exchange market
Paying off the debt would help to reactivate the real-estate market
Paying off the debt would reduce inflation
Paying off the debt would help to trigger new investments for public infrastructure
Paying off the debt would help to improve the overall economic situation and create jobs
Paying off the debt would help to integrate the country to the world
Agrees Agrees to some extent Disagrees N/A
Strong argument
Weak argument
Rejected argument Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
39
Main reason why Argentina should not pay the debt Spontaneous answer
“In your opinion, which is the main reason of why Argentina should not pay the debt still in default?”
%None, the debt should be paid 30The creditors demands are excesive 8There are others priorit ies 7To protect its economy 6There is not enough money to pay back 6It should not be paid with the current terms 5The debt is illegit imate 3Out of principle 1Others 3N/A 31Total 100
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
40
Reasons given not to pay the debt Accordance
“The following is a list of reasons some people have given for Argentina not to pay the debt that is still on default. For each, please tell me if you agree or not.”
Agrees Agrees to some extent Disagrees N/A
11
11
11
12
14
19
25
22
27
22
25
42
59
61
58
62
56
35
5
7
4
5
5
5
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Paying off the debt would generate an economic crisis similar to 2001
Paying off the debt would mean returning to the neoliberal policies
Paying off the debt would imply the destruction of the social progress of the last years
Paying off the debt would weaken our economic sovereignty
Paying off the debt would weaken Argentina's International position
Paying off the debt would weaken the Argentinean economy
Strong argument
Weak argument
Rejected argument Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
Electoral indicators
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
42
Most valued politician Spontaneous answer
“Could you name a politician you like?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
2º Sem. 2010
1º Sem. 2011
2º Sem. 2011
1º Sem. 2012
2º Sem. 2012
1º Sem. 2013 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14
Sergio Massa 1 1 1 2 3 7 12 25 21 19 24 20 21 Cristina Kirchner 15 24 27 21 17 17 15 13 12 17 12 14 11 Mauricio Macri 10 9 8 11 10 8 6 6 5 6 7 7 8 Daniel Scioli 3 4 5 6 8 7 7 3 5 3 3 4 6 Elisa Carrió 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 Hermes Binner 1 2 9 6 7 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 2 Ricardo Alfonsín 6 6 5 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 José Manuel de la Sota 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 Julio Cobos 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 2 2 3 1 Martín Insaurralde 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 2 3 3 3 1 1 A. Rodríguez Saá 1 2 5 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 Eduardo Duhalde 4 4 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Magarita Stolbizer 0 0 0 0 0 0 _ 1 1 1 1 0 0 Francisco de Narváez 4 2 2 2 1 2 5 3 2 1 3 1 0 Pino Solanas 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 Aníbal Fernández 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 Amado Boudou 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Others 16 13 14 12 13 13 16 14 14 16 17 18 17 None 18 13 10 18 22 22 21 13 19 14 14 18 17 N/A 11 12 6 8 9 9 7 5 5 7 4 5 7 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título Electoral preferences for 2015 Spontaneous answer
“Who would you like to be the next President of Argentina?”
Source: Poliarquía Consultores.
43
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Reduced
Sergio Massa 8 8 9 6 7 9 9 17 18 13 22 23 16 19
Mauricio Macri 7 7 8 6 4 6 5 6 6 8 8 7 9 10 Daniel Scioli 8 6 6 8 6 6 4 5 7 7 7 7 8 9
Cristina Kirchner 17 18 18 19 20 18 20 15 16 17 11 8 8 9 Hermes Binner 9 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 4 5 6 4 4 5
Julio Cobos _ _ _ _ _ 1 0 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 Ricardo Alfonsín 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 2 2 Elisa Carrió 1 1 2 1 4 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2
Francisco de Narváez 1 1 1 3 4 2 3 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 J.M. de la Sota 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0
Alberto R. Saá 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Amado Boudou 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
Eduardo Duhalde 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Others 6 7 7 6 8 8 5 7 8 9 9 10 10 11 N/A 40 43 38 44 34 38 43 38 35 33 29 36 38 29
Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
> Level of public knowledge
Pos
itive
imag
e ra
tio
Neg
ativ
e im
age
ratio
20
40
60
80
-4 -3 3 -2 2
< Level of public knowledge
4
100
Politicians according to their level of public knowledge and image ratio
44
80
Massa
Reutemann
de la Sota
Lavagna
Telerman
Alberto F. Redrado
Duhalde
Moyano
R.Saá FDN Michetti
del Sel
Pinedo
R. Larreta
J. Macri
Vidal
Macri
Capitanich
Rossi
CK
Filmus
Urtubey Kiciloff
Tomada
Sabbatella
Randazzo
Domínguez
Pichetto
Fellner
M. del Pont
De Vido Garré
Alperovich
Insfrán
M. Kirchner
Abal Medina
Bossio
Rojkes
Moreno
Echegaray
Aníbal F.
Boudou Insaurralde
Urribarri
Scioli
Lozano
Juez
Stolbizer
Binner
Prat Gay
Sanz
Gil Lavedra Aguad
Terragno
Giustiniani
Alfonsín Cobos
Carrió
Lousteau
Solanas
Haga clic para cambiar el estilo de título
45
www.poliarquia.com
All rights reserved. Any reproduction or redistribution of the content is prohibited without the express authorization of Poliarquia Consultores.
Top Related