Conferencia Magistral ELAP 2016
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Transcript of Conferencia Magistral ELAP 2016
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ELAP 2016
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AHORRO ANUAL(millones dólares)
Fuente: Senplades
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Fuentes: BCE, CEPAL
Promedio 2007-2015 Ecuador (3,9%)
América Latina (2,9%).
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2.2
6.4
0.6
3.5
7.9
5.64,9
4,0
0,2
5.7
4.0
-1.2
6.3
4.7
2.9 2.9
1.2
-0.4
Ecuador América Latina
Ecuador y América Latina: crecimiento del PIB
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1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
24,421 25,214 28,148 27,968
19,635 18,319
24,468 28,549
32,433 36,592
41,507 46,802
51,008
61,763 62,520
69,555
79,277
87,925
94,776
100,917 99,068
Ecuador: PIB nominal
Fuente: BCE
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2014: semi-definitivo2015: provisionalFuente: BCE
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
31.6 31.0
35.033.4 33.9
35.136.0 36.1
37.435.6
34.9
28.9
31.632.6
31 30.7 30.1
25
Remuneraciones de asalariados
Excedente de Explotación
Bruto
PIB por enfoque del Ingreso (estructura porcentual)
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FIN
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GASTO PÚBLICO / PIB(Gobierno General)
No hay teoría ni evidencia que demuestre tamaño óptimo del Estado.Fuente: FMI
Dinarmarca Suecia Ecuador Estados Unidos
Etiopía Nigeria
53.849.3
39.335.7
18.611.8
Níger
Índice Des. Humano
(posición)4 14 88 8 174 188
(último)
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1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.379
1.673
2,38
6,73
1
2,78
4,19
7
3,01
3,24
5
3,38
6,59
4
4,07
8,44
8
4,67
2,27
7
5,36
1,86
7
6,50
8,52
4
6,84
9,78
8
8,35
7,20
3
9,56
0,99
4
11,2
63,8
94
12,7
57,7
22
13,6
16,8
17
13,9
50,0
16
Recaudación Impuestos SRI: 1999-2015 (En millones de dólares)
Fuente: SRI
Promedio 1999-2006 2.922 millones
Promedio 2007-2015 9.803 millones
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1995 1999 2006 2014
39.3%
52.2%
38.3%
25.8%
Pobreza por consumo
4 años 7 años 8 años
Aprox. 1,9 millones de ecuatorianos salieron de la pobreza.Fuente: INEC
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FIN
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Desempleo internacional (Junio 2016)
Fuente: Institutos de Estadística de la región
Italia Brasil Colombia Uruguay Perú Chile Canadá Alemania Argentina Ecuador (junio 2016)
EEUU México
11.6 11.3
8.9
7.5 7.1 6.9 6.85.9 5.9
5.3 4.93.9
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PROPUESTA PARA EL DEBATE Libro Cámara de Comercio – Quito
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2
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Premios Nobel del panel: Angus Deaton, Erick Maskin, entre otros
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3 ¿Se eliminó el concepto de
equidad?¿ progresividad ?
FIN